Miami Heat

Eastern Conference · power rating #19

2026–27 regular-season outlook

Elo

1513

Projected

41.4–40.6

Playoffs

57%

Title

0.5%

2026–27 · regular-season forecasts

Next games

80 published fixtures

Choose a month or court, then open a matchup. These are scheduled games, with pre-game forecasts rather than final scores.

Forecast published: Oct 14, 2026, 3:43 PM UTC
Results used through: Jun 14, 2026, 12:30 AM UTC

Month · Eastern timeCourt

Restoring schedule filters…

Wed, Oct 21
7:30 PM ET
Minnesota Timberwolves
Home · scheduled
52.3%
MIA win probability
Forecast details +Close details −
Kaseya Center
Projected score · MIA–MIN
120–119
Projected total
238.9
Open matchup →View this day’s slate →
Fri, Oct 23
8:00 PM ET
Detroit Pistons
Home · scheduled
44.2%
MIA win probability
Forecast details +Close details −
Kaseya Center
Projected score · MIA–DET
116–118
Projected total
234.0
Open matchup →View this day’s slate →
Sat, Oct 24
6:00 PM ET
Charlotte Hornets
Away · scheduled
36.9%
MIA win probability
Forecast details +Close details −
Spectrum Center
Projected score · MIA–CHA
117–121
Projected total
238.0
Open matchup →View this day’s slate →
Mon, Oct 26
7:30 PM ET
Dallas Mavericks
Home · scheduled
66.1%
MIA win probability
Forecast details +Close details −
Kaseya Center
Projected score · MIA–DAL
126–120
Projected total
245.7
Open matchup →View this day’s slate →
Wed, Oct 28
7:00 PM ET
Atlanta Hawks
Away · scheduled
46.5%
MIA win probability
Forecast details +Close details −
State Farm Arena
Projected score · MIA–ATL
118–119
Projected total
236.7
Open matchup →View this day’s slate →
Fri, Oct 30
8:00 PM ET
Indiana Pacers
Home · scheduled
66.0%
MIA win probability
Forecast details +Close details −
Kaseya Center
Projected score · MIA–IND
125–119
Projected total
244.7
Open matchup →View this day’s slate →

Published coverage only; this is not the complete league schedule. Preseason exhibition games are outside this regular-season forecast. Injuries and roster changes are not model inputs.

Last season · 2025-26

Record

43–39

Home

26–15

Away

17–24

Net rating

+2.3

Conference

#10

Explore players

Current roster unavailable

Open a completed game, then select a player in its ESPN box score. These are game-specific team assignments, rather than a current roster.

Tue, Apr 14 · finalMIA 126 – 127 CHAPlayer box score →Sun, Apr 12 · finalATL 117 – 143 MIAPlayer box score →Fri, Apr 10 · finalMIA 140 – 117 WSHPlayer box score →

Rating history

Miami Heatleague 10th–90th percentile

End-of-season rating. 1500 is the league mean by construction — Elo is zero-sum, so the average team is always 1500 and a rising line means rising relative to everyone else, not in absolute terms. Gaps are seasons the franchise did not play under this name.

Where they finish

0.3%

2.1%

3.8%

5.8%

7.8%

9.7%

12.4%

14.4%

16.5%

#10

16.9%

Conference seed at the end of the regular season. Seeds 1–6 qualify directly; 7–10 enter the play-in.