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Hardwood
Power ratings
Miami Heat

Miami Heat

Eastern Conference · power rating #19

Elo

1513

Projected

41.4–40.6

Playoffs

57%

Title

0.5%

Last season · 2025-26

Record

43–39

Home

26–15

Away

17–24

Net rating

+2.3

Conference

#10

Rating history

Miami Heatleague 10th–90th percentile
15002004: 15622005: 16672006: 16622007: 14762008: 12692009: 15142010: 15512011: 16912012: 17022013: 17342014: 15942015: 14542016: 15882017: 15672018: 14982019: 14962020: 16252021: 15072022: 16512023: 15962024: 15482025: 14892026: 152115210407101316192225
End-of-season rating. 1500 is the league mean by construction — Elo is zero-sum, so the average team is always 1500 and a rising line means rising relative to everyone else, not in absolute terms. Gaps are seasons the franchise did not play under this name.

Where they finish

#1
0.4%
#2
2.2%
#3
3.9%
#4
5.8%
#5
7.8%
#6
10.0%
#7
12.1%
#8
14.6%
#9
16.6%
#10
16.8%

Conference seed at the end of the regular season. Seeds 1–6 qualify directly; 7–10 enter the play-in.

Next games

Wed, Oct 21vsMinnesota TimberwolvesMinnesota Timberwolves52.7%Fri, Oct 23vsDetroit PistonsDetroit Pistons45.7%Sat, Oct 24@Charlotte HornetsCharlotte Hornets37.4%Mon, Oct 26vsDallas MavericksDallas Mavericks66.0%Wed, Oct 28@Atlanta HawksAtlanta Hawks47.6%Fri, Oct 30vsIndiana PacersIndiana Pacers65.9%Mon, Nov 2@Los Angeles LakersLos Angeles Lakers42.0%Wed, Nov 4@LA ClippersLA Clippers45.2%

Forecasts are scored against the closing line. Nothing here is betting advice. How it works