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Hardwood

Season 2027

Power ratings

Elo with a margin-of-victory multiplier, tuned over 180 configurations on 29,653 games. 100 rating points is roughly 3.5 points of expected margin.

Ratings regress 40% toward the mean between seasons — measured, not assumed. Why ratings regress

#Relative
1New York KnicksNew York KnicksEastern1674
2San Antonio SpursSan Antonio SpursWestern1657
3Oklahoma City ThunderOklahoma City ThunderWestern1642
4Detroit PistonsDetroit PistonsEastern1588
5Boston CelticsBoston CelticsEastern1582
6Charlotte HornetsCharlotte HornetsEastern1573
7Denver NuggetsDenver NuggetsWestern1572
8Cleveland CavaliersCleveland CavaliersEastern1558
9Houston RocketsHouston RocketsWestern1553
10Los Angeles LakersLos Angeles LakersWestern1550
11Minnesota TimberwolvesMinnesota TimberwolvesWestern1542
12Orlando MagicOrlando MagicEastern1536
13Toronto RaptorsToronto RaptorsEastern1532
14Philadelphia 76ersPhiladelphia 76ersEastern1522
15Atlanta HawksAtlanta HawksEastern1521
16LA ClippersLA ClippersWestern1517
17Phoenix SunsPhoenix SunsWestern1515
18Portland Trail BlazersPortland Trail BlazersWestern1514
19Miami HeatMiami HeatEastern1513
20Golden State WarriorsGolden State WarriorsWestern1456
21New Orleans PelicansNew Orleans PelicansWestern1442
22Dallas MavericksDallas MavericksWestern1412
23Milwaukee BucksMilwaukee BucksEastern1408
24Chicago BullsChicago BullsEastern1404
25Indiana PacersIndiana PacersEastern1400
26Sacramento KingsSacramento KingsWestern1396
27Utah JazzUtah JazzWestern1374
28Memphis GrizzliesMemphis GrizzliesWestern1365
29Brooklyn NetsBrooklyn NetsEastern1356
30Washington WizardsWashington WizardsEastern1329

model 2026.08.1+943bde8b · generated Aug 29, 2026, 3:26 PM UTC

Forecasts are scored against the closing line. Nothing here is betting advice. How it works