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Power ratings
Oklahoma City Thunder

Oklahoma City Thunder

Western Conference · power rating #3

2026–27 regular-season outlook

Elo

1642

Projected

52.9–29.1

Playoffs

100%

Title

17.6%

2026–27 · regular-season forecasts

Next games

80 published fixtures

Choose a month or court, then open a matchup. These are scheduled games, with pre-game forecasts rather than final scores.

Forecast published
Oct 14, 2026, 3:43 PM UTC
Results used through
Jun 14, 2026, 12:30 AM UTC

Restoring schedule filters…

  • Tue, Oct 20

    9:30 PM ET

    San Antonio Spurs

    San Antonio Spurs

    Away · scheduled

    41.5%

    OKC win probability

    Forecast details +

    Frost Bank Center

    Projected score · OKC–SA
    108–112
    Projected total
    219.8
  • Thu, Oct 22

    9:30 PM ET

    Denver Nuggets

    Denver Nuggets

    Home · scheduled

    59.7%

    OKC win probability

    Forecast details +

    Paycom Center

    Projected score · OKC–DEN
    117–113
    Projected total
    229.5
  • Sun, Oct 25

    7:00 PM ET

    LA Clippers

    LA Clippers

    Home · scheduled

    71.2%

    OKC win probability

    Forecast details +

    Paycom Center

    Projected score · OKC–LAC
    117–110
    Projected total
    226.8
  • Mon, Oct 26

    8:00 PM ET

    Phoenix Suns

    Phoenix Suns

    Home · scheduled

    70.3%

    OKC win probability

    Forecast details +

    Paycom Center

    Projected score · OKC–PHX
    114–107
    Projected total
    221.4
  • Wed, Oct 28

    9:30 PM ET

    Dallas Mavericks

    Dallas Mavericks

    Away · scheduled

    72.6%

    OKC win probability

    Forecast details +

    American Airlines Center

    Projected score · OKC–DAL
    119–112
    Projected total
    231.1
  • Sat, Oct 31

    8:30 PM ET

    Houston Rockets

    Houston Rockets

    Away · scheduled

    55.2%

    OKC win probability

    Forecast details +

    Toyota Center (Houston)

    Projected score · OKC–HOU
    110–109
    Projected total
    218.4

Published coverage only; this is not the complete league schedule. Preseason exhibition games are outside this regular-season forecast. Injuries and roster changes are not model inputs.

Last season · 2025-26

Record

64–18

Home

34–8

Away

30–10

Net rating

+11.2

Conference

#1

Explore players

Current roster unavailable

Open a completed game, then select a player in its ESPN box score. These are game-specific team assignments, rather than a current roster.

Rating history

Oklahoma City Thunderleague 10th–90th percentile
15002004: 15072005: 15502006: 14812007: 14222008: 13112009: 13712010: 15862011: 16512012: 16962013: 16732014: 16432015: 15742016: 17292017: 15122018: 15972019: 15592020: 15442021: 12522022: 13252023: 15062024: 16562025: 17572026: 173717370407101316192225
End-of-season rating. 1500 is the league mean by construction — Elo is zero-sum, so the average team is always 1500 and a rising line means rising relative to everyone else, not in absolute terms. Gaps are seasons the franchise did not play under this name.

Where they finish

#1
37.5%
#2
37.6%
#3
14.1%
#4
5.7%
#5
2.7%
#6
1.3%
#7
0.7%
#8
0.3%
#9
0.1%
#10
0.1%

Conference seed at the end of the regular season. Seeds 1–6 qualify directly; 7–10 enter the play-in.

Forecasts are compared with historical markets. Nothing here is betting advice. How it works