First Round · 2006-07
6 games · Brooklyn Nets advanced
Every game
Game 1Apr 21
BKN 96@
TOR 9123·28·27·18 / 22·19·24·2630%Game 2Apr 24BKN 83@TOR 8912·24·27·20 / 14·19·25·3167%Game 3Apr 27TOR 89@BKN 10219·20·29·21 / 31·27·21·2360%Game 4Apr 29TOR 81@BKN 10215·22·19·25 / 32·24·30·1664%Game 5May 1BKN 96@TOR 9813·29·25·29 / 33·26·20·1962%Game 6May 4TOR 97@BKN 9821·25·22·29 / 21·22·32·2366%
BKN 96@TOR 9123·28·27·18 / 22·19·24·2630%Game 2Apr 24BKN 83@TOR 8912·24·27·20 / 14·19·25·3167%Game 3Apr 27TOR 89@BKN 10219·20·29·21 / 31·27·21·2360%Game 4Apr 29TOR 81@BKN 10215·22·19·25 / 32·24·30·1664%Game 5May 1BKN 96@TOR 9813·29·25·29 / 33·26·20·1962%Game 6May 4TOR 97@BKN 9821·25·22·29 / 21·22·32·2366%Each game opens its own page with the period breakdown, the team totals and the full player box score.
What the model made of it
Games it favoured correctly
5 of 6
Mean probability on the winner
58.4%
Brier over the series
0.1897
A backtest, and a sample of 6. The model was refit on games strictly earlier than each of these, so it never saw the result — but a record over a handful of games is not evidence in either direction. The one that means something is on the accuracy page, over 25,749.