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Hardwood
All seasons

2006-07 season

1,309 games · San Antonio Spurs won the title

Games scored

1,309

Model Brier

0.2187

Market Brier

no line

Gap to close

Eastern Conference

#TeamWLPCTHomeAwayNet
1Detroit PistonsDetroit Pistons5329.64626152714+4.2
2Cleveland CavaliersCleveland Cavaliers5032.61030112021+3.8
3Chicago BullsChicago Bulls4933.59831101823+5.0
4Toronto RaptorsToronto Raptors4735.57330111724+1.0
5Miami HeatMiami Heat4438.53727141724-0.9
6Washington WizardsWashington Wizards4141.50026151526-0.5
7Brooklyn NetsBrooklyn Nets4141.50024171724-0.8
8Orlando MagicOrlando Magic4042.48825161526+0.8
9Indiana PacersIndiana Pacers3547.42722191328-2.4
10Philadelphia 76ersPhiladelphia 76ers3547.42721201427-3.0
11New York KnicksNew York Knicks3349.40219221427-2.9
12Charlotte HornetsCharlotte Hornets3349.40220211328-3.7
13Atlanta HawksAtlanta Hawks3052.36618231229-4.8
14Milwaukee BucksMilwaukee Bucks2854.34218231031-4.4
15Boston CelticsBoston Celtics2458.29312291229-3.4

Western Conference

#TeamWLPCTHomeAwayNet
1Dallas MavericksDallas Mavericks6715.8173653110+7.2
2Phoenix SunsPhoenix Suns6121.7443382813+7.3
3San Antonio SpursSan Antonio Spurs5824.70731102714+8.4
4Houston RocketsHouston Rockets5230.63428132417+4.8
5Utah JazzUtah Jazz5131.62231102021+2.9
6Denver NuggetsDenver Nuggets4537.54923182219+1.6
7Los Angeles LakersLos Angeles Lakers4240.51225161724-0.1
8Golden State WarriorsGolden State Warriors4240.51230111229-0.3
9LA ClippersLA Clippers4042.48825161526-0.5
10New Orleans PelicansNew Orleans Pelicans3943.47624171526-1.6
11Sacramento KingsSacramento Kings3349.40220211328-1.8
12Minnesota TimberwolvesMinnesota Timberwolves3250.39020211229-3.7
13Portland Trail BlazersPortland Trail Blazers3250.39018231427-4.3
14Oklahoma City ThunderOklahoma City Thunder3151.37820211130-2.9
15Memphis GrizzliesMemphis Grizzlies2260.2681427833-5.2

Playoff bracket · 2006-07

Champion · San Antonio Spurs

Every card opens the series: which games, by how much, where, and what the model made of each one. Card positions and connectors are computed arithmetic, not nested boxes — the card feeding a round sits exactly halfway between the two beneath it, and that is asserted by a test rather than left to the box model.

The model's five biggest misses

These are the honest low points, printed with the same prominence the hits get. A record that only shows its wins is an advertisement.

Forecasts are scored against the closing line. Nothing here is betting advice. How it works