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Hardwood
All seasons

2006-07 season

1,309 games · San Antonio Spurs won the title

Games scored

1,309

Model Brier

0.2187

Market Brier

no line

Gap to close

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Eastern Conference

#TeamWLPCTHomeAwayNet
1Detroit PistonsDetroit Pistons5329.64626–1527–14+4.2
2Cleveland CavaliersCleveland Cavaliers5032.61030–1120–21+3.8
3Chicago BullsChicago Bulls4933.59831–1018–23+5.0
4Toronto RaptorsToronto Raptors4735.57330–1117–24+1.0
5Miami HeatMiami Heat4438.53727–1417–24-0.9
6Washington WizardsWashington Wizards4141.50026–1515–26-0.5
7Brooklyn NetsBrooklyn Nets4141.50024–1717–24-0.8
8Orlando MagicOrlando Magic4042.48825–1615–26+0.8
9Indiana PacersIndiana Pacers3547.42722–1913–28-2.4
10Philadelphia 76ersPhiladelphia 76ers3547.42721–2014–27-3.0
11New York KnicksNew York Knicks3349.40219–2214–27-2.9
12Charlotte HornetsCharlotte Hornets3349.40220–2113–28-3.7
13Atlanta HawksAtlanta Hawks3052.36618–2312–29-4.8
14Milwaukee BucksMilwaukee Bucks2854.34218–2310–31-4.4
15Boston CelticsBoston Celtics2458.29312–2912–29-3.4

Western Conference

#TeamWLPCTHomeAwayNet
1Dallas MavericksDallas Mavericks6715.81736–531–10+7.2
2Phoenix SunsPhoenix Suns6121.74433–828–13+7.3
3San Antonio SpursSan Antonio Spurs5824.70731–1027–14+8.4
4Houston RocketsHouston Rockets5230.63428–1324–17+4.8
5Utah JazzUtah Jazz5131.62231–1020–21+2.9
6Denver NuggetsDenver Nuggets4537.54923–1822–19+1.6
7Los Angeles LakersLos Angeles Lakers4240.51225–1617–24-0.1
8Golden State WarriorsGolden State Warriors4240.51230–1112–29-0.3
9LA ClippersLA Clippers4042.48825–1615–26-0.5
10New Orleans PelicansNew Orleans Pelicans3943.47624–1715–26-1.6
11Sacramento KingsSacramento Kings3349.40220–2113–28-1.8
12Minnesota TimberwolvesMinnesota Timberwolves3250.39020–2112–29-3.7
13Portland Trail BlazersPortland Trail Blazers3250.39018–2314–27-4.3
14Oklahoma City ThunderOklahoma City Thunder3151.37820–2111–30-2.9
15Memphis GrizzliesMemphis Grizzlies2260.26814–278–33-5.2

Playoff bracket · 2006-07

Champion · San Antonio Spurs

Every card opens the series: which games, by how much, where, and what the model made of each one. Card positions and connectors are computed arithmetic, not nested boxes — the card feeding a round sits exactly halfway between the two beneath it, and that is asserted by a test rather than left to the box model.

The model's five biggest misses

These are the honest low points, printed with the same prominence the hits get. A record that only shows its wins is an advertisement.

Forecasts are compared with historical markets. Nothing here is betting advice. How it works