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Hardwood
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2008-09 season

1,315 games · Los Angeles Lakers won the title

Games scored

1,315

Model Brier

0.1980

Market Brier

no line

Gap to close

Eastern Conference

#TeamWLPCTHomeAwayNet
1Cleveland CavaliersCleveland Cavaliers6616.8053922714+8.9
2Boston CelticsBoston Celtics6220.7563562714+7.5
3Orlando MagicOrlando Magic5923.7203292714+6.7
4Atlanta HawksAtlanta Hawks4735.57331101625+1.6
5Miami HeatMiami Heat4339.52428131526+0.3
6Philadelphia 76ersPhiladelphia 76ers4141.50024171724+0.1
7Chicago BullsChicago Bulls4141.50028131328-0.3
8Detroit PistonsDetroit Pistons3943.47621201823-0.5
9Indiana PacersIndiana Pacers3646.43925161130-1.1
10Charlotte HornetsCharlotte Hornets3547.42723181229-1.3
11Milwaukee BucksMilwaukee Bucks3448.41522191229-1.1
12Brooklyn NetsBrooklyn Nets3448.41519221526-2.4
13Toronto RaptorsToronto Raptors3349.40218231526-2.8
14New York KnicksNew York Knicks3250.39020211229-2.6
15Washington WizardsWashington Wizards1963.2321328635-7.5

Western Conference

#TeamWLPCTHomeAwayNet
1Los Angeles LakersLos Angeles Lakers6517.7933652912+7.7
2Portland Trail BlazersPortland Trail Blazers5428.6583472021+5.3
3San Antonio SpursSan Antonio Spurs5428.65828132615+3.8
4Denver NuggetsDenver Nuggets5428.6583382120+3.4
5Houston RocketsHouston Rockets5329.6463382021+4.0
6Dallas MavericksDallas Mavericks5032.6103291823+2.0
7New Orleans PelicansNew Orleans Pelicans4933.59828132120+1.6
8Utah JazzUtah Jazz4834.5853381526+2.6
9Phoenix SunsPhoenix Suns4636.56128131823+1.9
10Golden State WarriorsGolden State Warriors2953.3542120833-3.7
11Minnesota TimberwolvesMinnesota Timberwolves2458.29311301328-4.9
12Memphis GrizzliesMemphis Grizzlies2458.2931625833-5.5
13Oklahoma City ThunderOklahoma City Thunder2359.2811526833-6.1
14LA ClippersLA Clippers1963.2321130833-8.8
15Sacramento KingsSacramento Kings1765.2071130635-8.8

Playoff bracket · 2008-09

Champion · Los Angeles Lakers

Every card opens the series: which games, by how much, where, and what the model made of each one. Card positions and connectors are computed arithmetic, not nested boxes — the card feeding a round sits exactly halfway between the two beneath it, and that is asserted by a test rather than left to the box model.

The model's five biggest misses

These are the honest low points, printed with the same prominence the hits get. A record that only shows its wins is an advertisement.

Forecasts are scored against the closing line. Nothing here is betting advice. How it works