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Hardwood
All seasons

2011-12 season

1,074 games · Miami Heat won the title

Games scored

1,074

Model Brier

0.2075

Market Brier

no line

Gap to close

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Eastern Conference

#TeamWLPCTHomeAwayNet
1Chicago BullsChicago Bulls5016.75826–724–9+8.2
2Miami HeatMiami Heat4620.69728–518–15+6.0
3Indiana PacersIndiana Pacers4224.63623–1019–14+3.3
4Atlanta HawksAtlanta Hawks4026.60623–1017–16+3.4
5Boston CelticsBoston Celtics3927.59124–915–18+2.5
6Orlando MagicOrlando Magic3729.56121–1216–17+0.8
7New York KnicksNew York Knicks3630.54522–1114–19+3.2
8Philadelphia 76ersPhiladelphia 76ers3531.53019–1416–17+4.2
9Milwaukee BucksMilwaukee Bucks3135.47017–1614–19+0.3
10Detroit PistonsDetroit Pistons2541.37918–157–26-4.8
11Toronto RaptorsToronto Raptors2343.34813–2010–23-3.3
12Brooklyn NetsBrooklyn Nets2244.3339–2413–20-6.0
13Cleveland CavaliersCleveland Cavaliers2145.31811–2210–23-7.2
14Washington WizardsWashington Wizards2046.30311–229–24-4.8
15Charlotte HornetsCharlotte Hornets759.1064–293–30-13.9

Western Conference

#TeamWLPCTHomeAwayNet
1San Antonio SpursSan Antonio Spurs5016.75828–522–11+7.2
2Oklahoma City ThunderOklahoma City Thunder4719.71226–721–12+6.1
3Memphis GrizzliesMemphis Grizzlies4125.62126–715–18+2.0
4Los Angeles LakersLos Angeles Lakers4125.62126–715–18+1.4
5LA ClippersLA Clippers4026.60624–916–17+2.6
6Denver NuggetsDenver Nuggets3828.57620–1318–15+2.9
7Dallas MavericksDallas Mavericks3630.54523–1013–20+0.9
8Utah JazzUtah Jazz3630.54525–811–22+0.6
9Houston RocketsHouston Rockets3432.51522–1112–21+0.2
10Phoenix SunsPhoenix Suns3333.50019–1414–19-0.2
11Portland Trail BlazersPortland Trail Blazers2838.42420–138–25-0.6
12Minnesota TimberwolvesMinnesota Timberwolves2640.39413–2013–20-2.2
13Golden State WarriorsGolden State Warriors2343.34812–2111–22-3.4
14Sacramento KingsSacramento Kings2244.33316–176–27-5.7
15New Orleans PelicansNew Orleans Pelicans2145.31811–2210–23-3.8

Playoff bracket · 2011-12

Champion · Miami Heat

Every card opens the series: which games, by how much, where, and what the model made of each one. Card positions and connectors are computed arithmetic, not nested boxes — the card feeding a round sits exactly halfway between the two beneath it, and that is asserted by a test rather than left to the box model.

The model's five biggest misses

These are the honest low points, printed with the same prominence the hits get. A record that only shows its wins is an advertisement.

Forecasts are compared with historical markets. Nothing here is betting advice. How it works