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Hardwood
All seasons

2015-16 season

1,316 games · Cleveland Cavaliers won the title

Games scored

1,316

Model Brier

0.1995

Market Brier

0.1990

Gap to close

+0.0005

Eastern Conference

#TeamWLPCTHomeAwayNet
1Cleveland CavaliersCleveland Cavaliers5725.6953382417+6.0
2Toronto RaptorsToronto Raptors5626.6833292417+4.5
3Atlanta HawksAtlanta Hawks4834.58527142120+3.6
4Boston CelticsBoston Celtics4834.58528132021+3.2
5Charlotte HornetsCharlotte Hornets4834.58530111823+2.7
6Miami HeatMiami Heat4834.58528132021+1.6
7Indiana PacersIndiana Pacers4537.54926151922+1.7
8Detroit PistonsDetroit Pistons4438.53726151823+0.6
9Chicago BullsChicago Bulls4240.51226151625-1.5
10Washington WizardsWashington Wizards4141.50022191922-0.5
11Orlando MagicOrlando Magic3547.42723181229-1.6
12Milwaukee BucksMilwaukee Bucks3349.40223181031-4.2
13New York KnicksNew York Knicks3250.39018231427-2.7
14Brooklyn NetsBrooklyn Nets2161.2561427734-7.3
15Philadelphia 76ersPhiladelphia 76ers1072.122734338-10.2

Western Conference

#TeamWLPCTHomeAwayNet
1Golden State WarriorsGolden State Warriors739.890392347+10.8
2San Antonio SpursSan Antonio Spurs6715.8174012714+10.6
3Oklahoma City ThunderOklahoma City Thunder5527.6713292318+7.3
4LA ClippersLA Clippers5329.64629122417+4.3
5Portland Trail BlazersPortland Trail Blazers4438.53728131625+0.8
6Dallas MavericksDallas Mavericks4240.51223181922-0.3
7Memphis GrizzliesMemphis Grizzlies4240.51226151625-2.2
8Houston RocketsHouston Rockets4141.50023181823+0.2
9Utah JazzUtah Jazz4042.48824171625+1.8
10Sacramento KingsSacramento Kings3349.40218231526-2.5
11Denver NuggetsDenver Nuggets3349.40218231526-3.1
12New Orleans PelicansNew Orleans Pelicans3052.3662120932-3.8
13Minnesota TimberwolvesMinnesota Timberwolves2953.35414271526-3.5
14Phoenix SunsPhoenix Suns2359.2811427932-6.7
15Los Angeles LakersLos Angeles Lakers1765.2071229536-9.6

Playoff bracket · 2015-16

Champion · Cleveland Cavaliers

Every card opens the series: which games, by how much, where, and what the model made of each one. Card positions and connectors are computed arithmetic, not nested boxes — the card feeding a round sits exactly halfway between the two beneath it, and that is asserted by a test rather than left to the box model.

The model's five biggest misses

These are the honest low points, printed with the same prominence the hits get. A record that only shows its wins is an advertisement.

Forecasts are scored against the closing line. Nothing here is betting advice. How it works