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Hardwood
All seasons

2015-16 season

1,316 games · Cleveland Cavaliers won the title

Games scored

1,316

Model Brier

0.1994

Market Brier

0.1990

Gap to close

+0.0005

Eastern Conference

#TeamWLPCTHomeAwayNet
1Cleveland CavaliersCleveland Cavaliers5725.69533–824–17+6.0
2Toronto RaptorsToronto Raptors5626.68332–924–17+4.5
3Atlanta HawksAtlanta Hawks4834.58527–1421–20+3.6
4Boston CelticsBoston Celtics4834.58528–1320–21+3.2
5Charlotte HornetsCharlotte Hornets4834.58530–1118–23+2.7
6Miami HeatMiami Heat4834.58528–1320–21+1.6
7Indiana PacersIndiana Pacers4537.54926–1519–22+1.7
8Detroit PistonsDetroit Pistons4438.53726–1518–23+0.6
9Chicago BullsChicago Bulls4240.51226–1516–25-1.5
10Washington WizardsWashington Wizards4141.50022–1919–22-0.5
11Orlando MagicOrlando Magic3547.42723–1812–29-1.6
12Milwaukee BucksMilwaukee Bucks3349.40223–1810–31-4.2
13New York KnicksNew York Knicks3250.39018–2314–27-2.7
14Brooklyn NetsBrooklyn Nets2161.25614–277–34-7.3
15Philadelphia 76ersPhiladelphia 76ers1072.1227–343–38-10.2

Western Conference

#TeamWLPCTHomeAwayNet
1Golden State WarriorsGolden State Warriors739.89039–234–7+10.8
2San Antonio SpursSan Antonio Spurs6715.81740–127–14+10.6
3Oklahoma City ThunderOklahoma City Thunder5527.67132–923–18+7.3
4LA ClippersLA Clippers5329.64629–1224–17+4.3
5Portland Trail BlazersPortland Trail Blazers4438.53728–1316–25+0.8
6Dallas MavericksDallas Mavericks4240.51223–1819–22-0.3
7Memphis GrizzliesMemphis Grizzlies4240.51226–1516–25-2.2
8Houston RocketsHouston Rockets4141.50023–1818–23+0.2
9Utah JazzUtah Jazz4042.48824–1716–25+1.8
10Sacramento KingsSacramento Kings3349.40218–2315–26-2.5
11Denver NuggetsDenver Nuggets3349.40218–2315–26-3.1
12New Orleans PelicansNew Orleans Pelicans3052.36621–209–32-3.8
13Minnesota TimberwolvesMinnesota Timberwolves2953.35414–2715–26-3.5
14Phoenix SunsPhoenix Suns2359.28114–279–32-6.7
15Los Angeles LakersLos Angeles Lakers1765.20712–295–36-9.6

Playoff bracket · 2015-16

Champion · Cleveland Cavaliers

Every card opens the series: which games, by how much, where, and what the model made of each one. Card positions and connectors are computed arithmetic, not nested boxes — the card feeding a round sits exactly halfway between the two beneath it, and that is asserted by a test rather than left to the box model.

The model's five biggest misses

These are the honest low points, printed with the same prominence the hits get. A record that only shows its wins is an advertisement.

Forecasts are compared with historical markets. Nothing here is betting advice. How it works