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Hardwood
All seasons

2021-22 season

1,323 games · Golden State Warriors won the title

Games scored

1,323

Model Brier

0.2202

Market Brier

0.2096

Gap to close

+0.0107

Eastern Conference

#TeamWLPCTHomeAwayNet
1Miami HeatMiami Heat5329.64629122417+4.5
2Boston CelticsBoston Celtics5131.62228132318+7.3
3Milwaukee BucksMilwaukee Bucks5131.62227142417+3.4
4Philadelphia 76ersPhiladelphia 76ers5131.62224172714+2.6
5Toronto RaptorsToronto Raptors4834.58524172417+2.3
6Chicago BullsChicago Bulls4636.56127141922-0.4
7Cleveland CavaliersCleveland Cavaliers4438.53725161922+2.1
8Brooklyn NetsBrooklyn Nets4438.53720212417+0.8
9Atlanta HawksAtlanta Hawks4339.52427141625+1.6
10Charlotte HornetsCharlotte Hornets4339.52422192120+0.4
11New York KnicksNew York Knicks3745.45117242021-0.1
12Washington WizardsWashington Wizards3547.42721201427-3.4
13Indiana PacersIndiana Pacers2557.3051625932-3.5
14Detroit PistonsDetroit Pistons2359.28113281031-7.7
15Orlando MagicOrlando Magic2260.26812291031-8.0

Western Conference

#TeamWLPCTHomeAwayNet
1Phoenix SunsPhoenix Suns6418.780329329+7.5
2Memphis GrizzliesMemphis Grizzlies5626.68330112615+5.7
3Golden State WarriorsGolden State Warriors5329.64631102219+5.5
4Dallas MavericksDallas Mavericks5230.63429122318+3.3
5Utah JazzUtah Jazz4933.59829122021+6.0
6Denver NuggetsDenver Nuggets4834.58523182516+2.3
7Minnesota TimberwolvesMinnesota Timberwolves4636.56126152021+2.6
8LA ClippersLA Clippers4240.51225161724+0.0
9New Orleans PelicansNew Orleans Pelicans3646.43919221724-1.0
10San Antonio SpursSan Antonio Spurs3448.41516251823+0.1
11Los Angeles LakersLos Angeles Lakers3349.40221201229-3.0
12Sacramento KingsSacramento Kings3052.36616251427-5.5
13Portland Trail BlazersPortland Trail Blazers2755.32917241031-8.9
14Oklahoma City ThunderOklahoma City Thunder2458.29312291229-8.1
15Houston RocketsHouston Rockets2062.2441130932-8.5

Playoff bracket · 2021-22

Champion · Golden State Warriors

Every card opens the series: which games, by how much, where, and what the model made of each one. Card positions and connectors are computed arithmetic, not nested boxes — the card feeding a round sits exactly halfway between the two beneath it, and that is asserted by a test rather than left to the box model.

The model's five biggest misses

These are the honest low points, printed with the same prominence the hits get. A record that only shows its wins is an advertisement.

Forecasts are scored against the closing line. Nothing here is betting advice. How it works