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Hardwood
All seasons

2021-22 season

1,323 games · Golden State Warriors won the title

Games scored

1,323

Model Brier

0.2202

Market Brier

0.2096

Gap to close

+0.0107

Eastern Conference

#TeamWLPCTHomeAwayNet
1Miami HeatMiami Heat5329.64629–1224–17+4.5
2Boston CelticsBoston Celtics5131.62228–1323–18+7.3
3Milwaukee BucksMilwaukee Bucks5131.62227–1424–17+3.4
4Philadelphia 76ersPhiladelphia 76ers5131.62224–1727–14+2.6
5Toronto RaptorsToronto Raptors4834.58524–1724–17+2.3
6Chicago BullsChicago Bulls4636.56127–1419–22-0.4
7Cleveland CavaliersCleveland Cavaliers4438.53725–1619–22+2.1
8Brooklyn NetsBrooklyn Nets4438.53720–2124–17+0.8
9Atlanta HawksAtlanta Hawks4339.52427–1416–25+1.6
10Charlotte HornetsCharlotte Hornets4339.52422–1921–20+0.4
11New York KnicksNew York Knicks3745.45117–2420–21-0.1
12Washington WizardsWashington Wizards3547.42721–2014–27-3.4
13Indiana PacersIndiana Pacers2557.30516–259–32-3.5
14Detroit PistonsDetroit Pistons2359.28113–2810–31-7.7
15Orlando MagicOrlando Magic2260.26812–2910–31-8.0

Western Conference

#TeamWLPCTHomeAwayNet
1Phoenix SunsPhoenix Suns6418.78032–932–9+7.5
2Memphis GrizzliesMemphis Grizzlies5626.68330–1126–15+5.7
3Golden State WarriorsGolden State Warriors5329.64631–1022–19+5.5
4Dallas MavericksDallas Mavericks5230.63429–1223–18+3.3
5Utah JazzUtah Jazz4933.59829–1220–21+6.0
6Denver NuggetsDenver Nuggets4834.58523–1825–16+2.3
7Minnesota TimberwolvesMinnesota Timberwolves4636.56126–1520–21+2.6
8LA ClippersLA Clippers4240.51225–1617–24+0.0
9New Orleans PelicansNew Orleans Pelicans3646.43919–2217–24-1.0
10San Antonio SpursSan Antonio Spurs3448.41516–2518–23+0.1
11Los Angeles LakersLos Angeles Lakers3349.40221–2012–29-3.0
12Sacramento KingsSacramento Kings3052.36616–2514–27-5.5
13Portland Trail BlazersPortland Trail Blazers2755.32917–2410–31-8.9
14Oklahoma City ThunderOklahoma City Thunder2458.29312–2912–29-8.1
15Houston RocketsHouston Rockets2062.24411–309–32-8.5

Playoff bracket · 2021-22

Champion · Golden State Warriors

Every card opens the series: which games, by how much, where, and what the model made of each one. Card positions and connectors are computed arithmetic, not nested boxes — the card feeding a round sits exactly halfway between the two beneath it, and that is asserted by a test rather than left to the box model.

The model's five biggest misses

These are the honest low points, printed with the same prominence the hits get. A record that only shows its wins is an advertisement.

Forecasts are compared with historical markets. Nothing here is betting advice. How it works