MIL v CHI · First Round · Hardwood

First Round · 2021-22

Milwaukee Bucks

4

final

1

5 games · Milwaukee Bucks advanced

Every game

MIL 9321·22·28·15 / 34·17·23·1972%Game 2Apr 20

MIL 11029·34·24·27 / 28·21·31·3027%Game 3Apr 22

CHI 8133·27·30·21 / 17·24·18·2254%Game 4Apr 24

CHI 9525·31·34·29 / 22·19·33·2159%Game 5Apr 27

MIL 11618·24·26·32 / 34·26·31·2579%

Each game opens its own page with the period breakdown, the team totals and the full player box score.

What the model made of it

Games it favoured correctly

4 of 5

Mean probability on the winner

58.2%

Brier over the series

0.2063

A backtest, and a sample of 5. The model was refit on games strictly earlier than each of these, so it never saw the result — but a record over a handful of games is not evidence in either direction. The one that means something is on the accuracy page, over 25,749.