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Hardwood
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2020-21 season

1,171 games · Milwaukee Bucks won the title

Games scored

1,171

Model Brier

0.2255

Market Brier

0.2157

Gap to close

+0.0097

Eastern Conference

#TeamWLPCTHomeAwayNet
1Philadelphia 76ersPhiladelphia 76ers4923.6812972016+5.6
2Brooklyn NetsBrooklyn Nets4824.6672882016+4.5
3Milwaukee BucksMilwaukee Bucks4626.63926102016+5.9
4Atlanta HawksAtlanta Hawks4131.56925111620+2.3
5New York KnicksNew York Knicks4131.56925111620+2.3
6Miami HeatMiami Heat4032.55621151917+0.0
7Boston CelticsBoston Celtics3636.50021151521+1.5
8Indiana PacersIndiana Pacers3438.47213232115-0.0
9Washington WizardsWashington Wizards3438.47219171521-1.8
10Charlotte HornetsCharlotte Hornets3339.45818181521-1.9
11Chicago BullsChicago Bulls3141.43115211620-0.9
12Toronto RaptorsToronto Raptors2745.37516201125-0.5
13Cleveland CavaliersCleveland Cavaliers2250.3061323927-8.4
14Orlando MagicOrlando Magic2151.29211251026-9.3
15Detroit PistonsDetroit Pistons2052.2781323729-4.5

Western Conference

#TeamWLPCTHomeAwayNet
1Utah JazzUtah Jazz5220.7223152115+9.3
2Phoenix SunsPhoenix Suns5121.7082792412+5.8
3LA ClippersLA Clippers4725.65326102115+6.2
4Denver NuggetsDenver Nuggets4725.65325112214+4.9
5Los Angeles LakersLos Angeles Lakers4230.58321152115+2.8
6Dallas MavericksDallas Mavericks4230.58321152115+2.3
7Portland Trail BlazersPortland Trail Blazers4230.58320162214+1.8
8Golden State WarriorsGolden State Warriors3933.54225111422+1.1
9Memphis GrizzliesMemphis Grizzlies3834.52818182016+1.0
10San Antonio SpursSan Antonio Spurs3339.45814221917-1.7
11New Orleans PelicansNew Orleans Pelicans3141.43118181323-0.3
12Sacramento KingsSacramento Kings3141.43116201521-3.7
13Minnesota TimberwolvesMinnesota Timberwolves2349.31913231026-5.6
14Oklahoma City ThunderOklahoma City Thunder2250.30610261224-10.6
15Houston RocketsHouston Rockets1755.236927828-7.9

Playoff bracket · 2020-21

Champion · Milwaukee Bucks

Every card opens the series: which games, by how much, where, and what the model made of each one. Card positions and connectors are computed arithmetic, not nested boxes — the card feeding a round sits exactly halfway between the two beneath it, and that is asserted by a test rather than left to the box model.

The model's five biggest misses

These are the honest low points, printed with the same prominence the hits get. A record that only shows its wins is an advertisement.

Forecasts are scored against the closing line. Nothing here is betting advice. How it works