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Hardwood
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2020-21 season

1,171 games · Milwaukee Bucks won the title

Games scored

1,171

Model Brier

0.2255

Market Brier

0.2157

Gap to close

+0.0098

Eastern Conference

#TeamWLPCTHomeAwayNet
1Philadelphia 76ersPhiladelphia 76ers4923.68129–720–16+5.6
2Brooklyn NetsBrooklyn Nets4824.66728–820–16+4.5
3Milwaukee BucksMilwaukee Bucks4626.63926–1020–16+5.9
4Atlanta HawksAtlanta Hawks4131.56925–1116–20+2.3
5New York KnicksNew York Knicks4131.56925–1116–20+2.3
6Miami HeatMiami Heat4032.55621–1519–17+0.0
7Boston CelticsBoston Celtics3636.50021–1515–21+1.5
8Indiana PacersIndiana Pacers3438.47213–2321–15-0.0
9Washington WizardsWashington Wizards3438.47219–1715–21-1.8
10Charlotte HornetsCharlotte Hornets3339.45818–1815–21-1.9
11Chicago BullsChicago Bulls3141.43115–2116–20-0.9
12Toronto RaptorsToronto Raptors2745.37516–2011–25-0.5
13Cleveland CavaliersCleveland Cavaliers2250.30613–239–27-8.4
14Orlando MagicOrlando Magic2151.29211–2510–26-9.3
15Detroit PistonsDetroit Pistons2052.27813–237–29-4.5

Western Conference

#TeamWLPCTHomeAwayNet
1Utah JazzUtah Jazz5220.72231–521–15+9.3
2Phoenix SunsPhoenix Suns5121.70827–924–12+5.8
3LA ClippersLA Clippers4725.65326–1021–15+6.2
4Denver NuggetsDenver Nuggets4725.65325–1122–14+4.9
5Los Angeles LakersLos Angeles Lakers4230.58321–1521–15+2.8
6Dallas MavericksDallas Mavericks4230.58321–1521–15+2.3
7Portland Trail BlazersPortland Trail Blazers4230.58320–1622–14+1.8
8Golden State WarriorsGolden State Warriors3933.54225–1114–22+1.1
9Memphis GrizzliesMemphis Grizzlies3834.52818–1820–16+1.0
10San Antonio SpursSan Antonio Spurs3339.45814–2219–17-1.7
11New Orleans PelicansNew Orleans Pelicans3141.43118–1813–23-0.3
12Sacramento KingsSacramento Kings3141.43116–2015–21-3.7
13Minnesota TimberwolvesMinnesota Timberwolves2349.31913–2310–26-5.6
14Oklahoma City ThunderOklahoma City Thunder2250.30610–2612–24-10.6
15Houston RocketsHouston Rockets1755.2369–278–28-7.9

Playoff bracket · 2020-21

Champion · Milwaukee Bucks

Every card opens the series: which games, by how much, where, and what the model made of each one. Card positions and connectors are computed arithmetic, not nested boxes — the card feeding a round sits exactly halfway between the two beneath it, and that is asserted by a test rather than left to the box model.

The model's five biggest misses

These are the honest low points, printed with the same prominence the hits get. A record that only shows its wins is an advertisement.

Forecasts are compared with historical markets. Nothing here is betting advice. How it works