Conference Semifinals · 2020-21
7 games · Atlanta Hawks advanced
Every game
Game 1Jun 6
ATL 128@
PHI 12442·32·25·29 / 27·27·29·4134%Game 2Jun 8ATL 102@PHI 11820·35·29·18 / 33·24·34·2764%Game 3Jun 11PHI 127@ATL 11128·33·34·32 / 20·36·19·3643%Game 4Jun 14PHI 100@ATL 10328·34·20·18 / 20·29·31·2352%Game 5Jun 16ATL 109@PHI 10624·16·29·40 / 38·24·25·1930%Game 6Jun 18PHI 104@ATL 9922·25·33·24 / 29·22·25·2345%Game 7Jun 20ATL 103@PHI 9625·23·28·27 / 28·18·25·2530%
ATL 128@PHI 12442·32·25·29 / 27·27·29·4134%Game 2Jun 8ATL 102@PHI 11820·35·29·18 / 33·24·34·2764%Game 3Jun 11PHI 127@ATL 11128·33·34·32 / 20·36·19·3643%Game 4Jun 14PHI 100@ATL 10328·34·20·18 / 20·29·31·2352%Game 5Jun 16ATL 109@PHI 10624·16·29·40 / 38·24·25·1930%Game 6Jun 18PHI 104@ATL 9922·25·33·24 / 29·22·25·2345%Game 7Jun 20ATL 103@PHI 9625·23·28·27 / 28·18·25·2530%Each game opens its own page with the period breakdown, the team totals and the full player box score.
What the model made of it
Games it favoured correctly
2 of 7
Mean probability on the winner
42.7%
Brier over the series
0.3424
A backtest, and a sample of 7. The model was refit on games strictly earlier than each of these, so it never saw the result — but a record over a handful of games is not evidence in either direction. The one that means something is on the accuracy page, over 25,749.