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Hardwood
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2010-11 season

1,311 games · Dallas Mavericks won the title

Games scored

1,311

Model Brier

0.2032

Market Brier

no line

Gap to close

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Eastern Conference

#TeamWLPCTHomeAwayNet
1Chicago BullsChicago Bulls6220.75636–526–15+7.3
2Miami HeatMiami Heat5824.70730–1128–13+7.5
3Boston CelticsBoston Celtics5626.68333–823–18+5.4
4Orlando MagicOrlando Magic5230.63429–1223–18+5.5
5Atlanta HawksAtlanta Hawks4438.53724–1720–21-0.8
6New York KnicksNew York Knicks4240.51223–1819–22+0.8
7Philadelphia 76ersPhiladelphia 76ers4141.50026–1515–26+1.5
8Indiana PacersIndiana Pacers3745.45124–1713–28-1.1
9Milwaukee BucksMilwaukee Bucks3547.42722–1913–28-0.8
10Charlotte HornetsCharlotte Hornets3448.41521–2013–28-4.0
11Detroit PistonsDetroit Pistons3052.36621–209–32-3.6
12Brooklyn NetsBrooklyn Nets2458.29319–225–36-6.2
13Washington WizardsWashington Wizards2359.28120–213–38-7.4
14Toronto RaptorsToronto Raptors2260.26816–256–35-6.3
15Cleveland CavaliersCleveland Cavaliers1963.23212–297–34-9.0

Western Conference

#TeamWLPCTHomeAwayNet
1San Antonio SpursSan Antonio Spurs6121.74436–525–16+5.7
2Los Angeles LakersLos Angeles Lakers5725.69530–1127–14+6.1
3Dallas MavericksDallas Mavericks5725.69529–1228–13+4.2
4Oklahoma City ThunderOklahoma City Thunder5527.67130–1125–16+3.8
5Denver NuggetsDenver Nuggets5032.61033–817–24+4.8
6Portland Trail BlazersPortland Trail Blazers4834.58530–1118–23+1.5
7Memphis GrizzliesMemphis Grizzlies4636.56130–1116–25+2.3
8New Orleans PelicansNew Orleans Pelicans4636.56128–1318–23+0.9
9Houston RocketsHouston Rockets4339.52425–1618–23+2.2
10Phoenix SunsPhoenix Suns4042.48823–1817–24-0.9
11Utah JazzUtah Jazz3943.47621–2018–23-1.8
12Golden State WarriorsGolden State Warriors3646.43926–1510–31-2.3
13LA ClippersLA Clippers3250.39023–189–32-3.1
14Sacramento KingsSacramento Kings2458.29311–3013–28-5.3
15Minnesota TimberwolvesMinnesota Timberwolves1765.20712–295–36-6.6

Playoff bracket · 2010-11

Champion · Dallas Mavericks

Every card opens the series: which games, by how much, where, and what the model made of each one. Card positions and connectors are computed arithmetic, not nested boxes — the card feeding a round sits exactly halfway between the two beneath it, and that is asserted by a test rather than left to the box model.

The model's five biggest misses

These are the honest low points, printed with the same prominence the hits get. A record that only shows its wins is an advertisement.

Forecasts are compared with historical markets. Nothing here is betting advice. How it works