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2010-11 season

1,311 games · Dallas Mavericks won the title

Games scored

1,311

Model Brier

0.2032

Market Brier

no line

Gap to close

Eastern Conference

#TeamWLPCTHomeAwayNet
1Chicago BullsChicago Bulls6220.7563652615+7.3
2Miami HeatMiami Heat5824.70730112813+7.5
3Boston CelticsBoston Celtics5626.6833382318+5.4
4Orlando MagicOrlando Magic5230.63429122318+5.5
5Atlanta HawksAtlanta Hawks4438.53724172021-0.8
6New York KnicksNew York Knicks4240.51223181922+0.8
7Philadelphia 76ersPhiladelphia 76ers4141.50026151526+1.5
8Indiana PacersIndiana Pacers3745.45124171328-1.1
9Milwaukee BucksMilwaukee Bucks3547.42722191328-0.8
10Charlotte HornetsCharlotte Hornets3448.41521201328-4.0
11Detroit PistonsDetroit Pistons3052.3662120932-3.6
12Brooklyn NetsBrooklyn Nets2458.2931922536-6.2
13Washington WizardsWashington Wizards2359.2812021338-7.4
14Toronto RaptorsToronto Raptors2260.2681625635-6.3
15Cleveland CavaliersCleveland Cavaliers1963.2321229734-9.0

Western Conference

#TeamWLPCTHomeAwayNet
1San Antonio SpursSan Antonio Spurs6121.7443652516+5.7
2Los Angeles LakersLos Angeles Lakers5725.69530112714+6.1
3Dallas MavericksDallas Mavericks5725.69529122813+4.2
4Oklahoma City ThunderOklahoma City Thunder5527.67130112516+3.8
5Denver NuggetsDenver Nuggets5032.6103381724+4.8
6Portland Trail BlazersPortland Trail Blazers4834.58530111823+1.5
7Memphis GrizzliesMemphis Grizzlies4636.56130111625+2.3
8New Orleans PelicansNew Orleans Pelicans4636.56128131823+0.9
9Houston RocketsHouston Rockets4339.52425161823+2.2
10Phoenix SunsPhoenix Suns4042.48823181724-0.9
11Utah JazzUtah Jazz3943.47621201823-1.8
12Golden State WarriorsGolden State Warriors3646.43926151031-2.3
13LA ClippersLA Clippers3250.3902318932-3.1
14Sacramento KingsSacramento Kings2458.29311301328-5.3
15Minnesota TimberwolvesMinnesota Timberwolves1765.2071229536-6.6

Playoff bracket · 2010-11

Champion · Dallas Mavericks

Every card opens the series: which games, by how much, where, and what the model made of each one. Card positions and connectors are computed arithmetic, not nested boxes — the card feeding a round sits exactly halfway between the two beneath it, and that is asserted by a test rather than left to the box model.

The model's five biggest misses

These are the honest low points, printed with the same prominence the hits get. A record that only shows its wins is an advertisement.

Forecasts are scored against the closing line. Nothing here is betting advice. How it works