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Hardwood
All seasons

2017-18 season

1,312 games · Golden State Warriors won the title

Games scored

1,312

Model Brier

0.2136

Market Brier

0.2023

Gap to close

+0.0105

Eastern Conference

#TeamWLPCTHomeAwayNet
1Toronto RaptorsToronto Raptors5923.7203472516+7.8
2Boston CelticsBoston Celtics5527.67127142813+3.6
3Philadelphia 76ersPhiladelphia 76ers5230.63430112219+4.5
4Cleveland CavaliersCleveland Cavaliers5032.61029122120+0.9
5Indiana PacersIndiana Pacers4834.58527142120+1.4
6Miami HeatMiami Heat4438.53726151823+0.5
7Milwaukee BucksMilwaukee Bucks4438.53725161922-0.3
8Washington WizardsWashington Wizards4339.52423182021+0.6
9Detroit PistonsDetroit Pistons3943.47625161427-0.1
10Charlotte HornetsCharlotte Hornets3646.43921201526+0.3
11New York KnicksNew York Knicks2953.35419221031-3.6
12Brooklyn NetsBrooklyn Nets2854.34215261328-3.7
13Chicago BullsChicago Bulls2755.32917241031-7.0
14Orlando MagicOrlando Magic2557.3051724833-4.8
15Atlanta HawksAtlanta Hawks2458.2931625833-5.5

Western Conference

#TeamWLPCTHomeAwayNet
1Houston RocketsHouston Rockets6517.7933473110+8.5
2Golden State WarriorsGolden State Warriors5824.70729122912+6.0
3Portland Trail BlazersPortland Trail Blazers4933.59828132120+2.6
4Utah JazzUtah Jazz4834.58528132021+4.3
5Oklahoma City ThunderOklahoma City Thunder4834.58527142120+3.4
6New Orleans PelicansNew Orleans Pelicans4834.58524172417+1.3
7San Antonio SpursSan Antonio Spurs4735.5733381427+2.9
8Minnesota TimberwolvesMinnesota Timberwolves4735.57330111724+2.2
9Denver NuggetsDenver Nuggets4636.56131101526+1.5
10LA ClippersLA Clippers4240.51222192021+0.0
11Los Angeles LakersLos Angeles Lakers3547.42720211526-1.6
12Sacramento KingsSacramento Kings2755.32914271328-7.0
13Dallas MavericksDallas Mavericks2458.2931526932-3.0
14Memphis GrizzliesMemphis Grizzlies2260.2681625635-6.2
15Phoenix SunsPhoenix Suns2161.25610311130-9.4

Playoff bracket · 2017-18

Champion · Golden State Warriors

Every card opens the series: which games, by how much, where, and what the model made of each one. Card positions and connectors are computed arithmetic, not nested boxes — the card feeding a round sits exactly halfway between the two beneath it, and that is asserted by a test rather than left to the box model.

The model's five biggest misses

These are the honest low points, printed with the same prominence the hits get. A record that only shows its wins is an advertisement.

Forecasts are scored against the closing line. Nothing here is betting advice. How it works