First Round · 2017-18
6 games · Utah Jazz advanced
Every game
Game 1Apr 15
UTAH 108@
OKC 11625·23·24·36 / 25·29·27·3555%Game 2Apr 18UTAH 102@OKC 9526·27·21·28 / 25·21·33·1642%Game 3Apr 21OKC 102@UTAH 11530·23·22·27 / 22·36·31·2672%Game 4Apr 23OKC 96@UTAH 11330·22·21·23 / 24·34·32·2374%Game 5Apr 25UTAH 99@OKC 10734·22·22·21 / 29·12·37·2951%Game 6Apr 27OKC 91@UTAH 9622·19·29·21 / 18·23·37·1873%
UTAH 108@OKC 11625·23·24·36 / 25·29·27·3555%Game 2Apr 18UTAH 102@OKC 9526·27·21·28 / 25·21·33·1642%Game 3Apr 21OKC 102@UTAH 11530·23·22·27 / 22·36·31·2672%Game 4Apr 23OKC 96@UTAH 11330·22·21·23 / 24·34·32·2374%Game 5Apr 25UTAH 99@OKC 10734·22·22·21 / 29·12·37·2951%Game 6Apr 27OKC 91@UTAH 9622·19·29·21 / 18·23·37·1873%Each game opens its own page with the period breakdown, the team totals and the full player box score.
What the model made of it
Games it favoured correctly
5 of 6
Mean probability on the winner
61.1%
Brier over the series
0.1674
A backtest, and a sample of 6. The model was refit on games strictly earlier than each of these, so it never saw the result — but a record over a handful of games is not evidence in either direction. The one that means something is on the accuracy page, over 25,749.