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Hardwood
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2022-23 season

1,320 games · Denver Nuggets won the title

Games scored

1,320

Model Brier

0.2271

Market Brier

0.2181

Gap to close

+0.0090

Eastern Conference

#TeamWLPCTHomeAwayNet
1Milwaukee BucksMilwaukee Bucks5824.7073292615+3.6
2Boston CelticsBoston Celtics5725.6953292516+6.5
3Philadelphia 76ersPhiladelphia 76ers5428.65829122516+4.3
4Cleveland CavaliersCleveland Cavaliers5131.62231102021+5.4
5New York KnicksNew York Knicks4735.57323182417+2.9
6Brooklyn NetsBrooklyn Nets4537.54923182219+0.8
7Miami HeatMiami Heat4438.53727141724-0.3
8Toronto RaptorsToronto Raptors4141.50027141427+1.5
9Atlanta HawksAtlanta Hawks4141.50024171724+0.3
10Chicago BullsChicago Bulls4042.48822191823+1.3
11Washington WizardsWashington Wizards3547.42719221625-1.2
12Indiana PacersIndiana Pacers3547.42720211526-3.2
13Orlando MagicOrlando Magic3448.41520211427-2.6
14Charlotte HornetsCharlotte Hornets2755.32913281427-6.2
15Detroit PistonsDetroit Pistons1765.207932833-8.2

Western Conference

#TeamWLPCTHomeAwayNet
1Denver NuggetsDenver Nuggets5329.6463471922+3.3
2Memphis GrizzliesMemphis Grizzlies5131.6223561625+3.9
3Sacramento KingsSacramento Kings4834.58523182516+2.6
4Phoenix SunsPhoenix Suns4537.54928131724+2.1
5Golden State WarriorsGolden State Warriors4438.5373381130+1.8
6LA ClippersLA Clippers4438.53723182120+0.5
7Los Angeles LakersLos Angeles Lakers4339.52423182021+0.6
8New Orleans PelicansNew Orleans Pelicans4240.51227141526+1.9
9Minnesota TimberwolvesMinnesota Timberwolves4240.51222192021-0.0
10Oklahoma City ThunderOklahoma City Thunder4042.48824171625+1.1
11Dallas MavericksDallas Mavericks3844.46323181526+0.1
12Utah JazzUtah Jazz3745.45123181427-0.9
13Portland Trail BlazersPortland Trail Blazers3349.40217241625-4.0
14Houston RocketsHouston Rockets2260.2681427833-7.8
15San Antonio SpursSan Antonio Spurs2260.2681427833-10.0

Playoff bracket · 2022-23

Champion · Denver Nuggets

Every card opens the series: which games, by how much, where, and what the model made of each one. Card positions and connectors are computed arithmetic, not nested boxes — the card feeding a round sits exactly halfway between the two beneath it, and that is asserted by a test rather than left to the box model.

The model's five biggest misses

These are the honest low points, printed with the same prominence the hits get. A record that only shows its wins is an advertisement.

Forecasts are scored against the closing line. Nothing here is betting advice. How it works