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Hardwood
2022-23 season

First Round · 2022-23

Cleveland Cavaliers
Cleveland Cavaliers

1

final
New York Knicks
New York Knicks

4

5 games · New York Knicks advanced

Every game

Game 1Apr 15New York KnicksNY 101@Cleveland CavaliersCLE 9730·20·28·23 / 24·21·25·2737%Game 2Apr 18New York KnicksNY 90@Cleveland CavaliersCLE 10722·17·21·30 / 25·34·23·2560%Game 3Apr 21Cleveland CavaliersCLE 79@New York KnicksNY 9917·15·23·24 / 17·28·27·2758%Game 4Apr 23Cleveland CavaliersCLE 93@New York KnicksNY 10223·22·26·22 / 30·24·19·2963%Game 5Apr 26New York KnicksNY 106@Cleveland CavaliersCLE 9533·28·26·19 / 26·25·24·2043%

Each game opens its own page with the period breakdown, the team totals and the full player box score.

What the model made of it

Games it favoured correctly

3 of 5

Mean probability on the winner

52.1%

Brier over the series

0.2395

A backtest, and a sample of 5. The model was refit on games strictly earlier than each of these, so it never saw the result — but a record over a handful of games is not evidence in either direction. The one that means something is on the accuracy page, over 25,749.

Forecasts are scored against the closing line. Nothing here is betting advice. How it works