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Hardwood
All seasons

2012-13 season

1,314 games · Miami Heat won the title

Games scored

1,314

Model Brier

0.2053

Market Brier

0.2029

Gap to close

+0.0017

Eastern Conference

#TeamWLPCTHomeAwayNet
1Miami HeatMiami Heat6616.80537–429–12+7.9
2New York KnicksNew York Knicks5428.65831–1023–18+4.2
3Indiana PacersIndiana Pacers4932.60530–1119–21+4.0
4Brooklyn NetsBrooklyn Nets4933.59826–1523–18+1.8
5Chicago BullsChicago Bulls4537.54924–1721–20+0.3
6Atlanta HawksAtlanta Hawks4438.53725–1619–22+0.4
7Boston CelticsBoston Celtics4140.50627–1314–27-0.2
8Milwaukee BucksMilwaukee Bucks3844.46321–2017–24-1.5
9Toronto RaptorsToronto Raptors3448.41521–2013–28-1.5
10Philadelphia 76ersPhiladelphia 76ers3448.41523–1811–30-3.3
11Washington WizardsWashington Wizards2953.35422–197–34-2.5
12Detroit PistonsDetroit Pistons2953.35418–2311–30-4.0
13Cleveland CavaliersCleveland Cavaliers2458.29314–2710–31-4.7
14Charlotte HornetsCharlotte Hornets2161.25615–266–35-9.2
15Orlando MagicOrlando Magic2062.24412–298–33-7.0

Western Conference

#TeamWLPCTHomeAwayNet
1Oklahoma City ThunderOklahoma City Thunder6022.73234–726–15+9.2
2San Antonio SpursSan Antonio Spurs5824.70735–623–18+6.4
3Denver NuggetsDenver Nuggets5725.69538–319–22+5.1
4LA ClippersLA Clippers5626.68332–924–17+6.5
5Memphis GrizzliesMemphis Grizzlies5626.68332–924–17+4.2
6Golden State WarriorsGolden State Warriors4735.57328–1319–22+0.9
7Houston RocketsHouston Rockets4537.54929–1216–25+3.5
8Los Angeles LakersLos Angeles Lakers4537.54929–1216–25+1.2
9Utah JazzUtah Jazz4339.52430–1113–28-0.1
10Dallas MavericksDallas Mavericks4141.50024–1717–24-0.6
11Portland Trail BlazersPortland Trail Blazers3349.40222–1911–30-3.2
12Minnesota TimberwolvesMinnesota Timberwolves3151.37820–2111–30-2.4
13Sacramento KingsSacramento Kings2854.34220–218–33-4.9
14New Orleans PelicansNew Orleans Pelicans2755.32916–2511–30-3.9
15Phoenix SunsPhoenix Suns2557.30517–248–33-6.5

Playoff bracket · 2012-13

Champion · Miami Heat

Every card opens the series: which games, by how much, where, and what the model made of each one. Card positions and connectors are computed arithmetic, not nested boxes — the card feeding a round sits exactly halfway between the two beneath it, and that is asserted by a test rather than left to the box model.

The model's five biggest misses

These are the honest low points, printed with the same prominence the hits get. A record that only shows its wins is an advertisement.

Forecasts are compared with historical markets. Nothing here is betting advice. How it works