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Hardwood
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2012-13 season

1,314 games · Miami Heat won the title

Games scored

1,314

Model Brier

0.2053

Market Brier

0.2029

Gap to close

+0.0018

Eastern Conference

#TeamWLPCTHomeAwayNet
1Miami HeatMiami Heat6616.8053742912+7.9
2New York KnicksNew York Knicks5428.65831102318+4.2
3Indiana PacersIndiana Pacers4932.60530111921+4.0
4Brooklyn NetsBrooklyn Nets4933.59826152318+1.8
5Chicago BullsChicago Bulls4537.54924172120+0.3
6Atlanta HawksAtlanta Hawks4438.53725161922+0.4
7Boston CelticsBoston Celtics4140.50627131427-0.2
8Milwaukee BucksMilwaukee Bucks3844.46321201724-1.5
9Toronto RaptorsToronto Raptors3448.41521201328-1.5
10Philadelphia 76ersPhiladelphia 76ers3448.41523181130-3.3
11Washington WizardsWashington Wizards2953.3542219734-2.5
12Detroit PistonsDetroit Pistons2953.35418231130-4.0
13Cleveland CavaliersCleveland Cavaliers2458.29314271031-4.7
14Charlotte HornetsCharlotte Hornets2161.2561526635-9.2
15Orlando MagicOrlando Magic2062.2441229833-7.0

Western Conference

#TeamWLPCTHomeAwayNet
1Oklahoma City ThunderOklahoma City Thunder6022.7323472615+9.2
2San Antonio SpursSan Antonio Spurs5824.7073562318+6.4
3Denver NuggetsDenver Nuggets5725.6953831922+5.1
4LA ClippersLA Clippers5626.6833292417+6.5
5Memphis GrizzliesMemphis Grizzlies5626.6833292417+4.2
6Golden State WarriorsGolden State Warriors4735.57328131922+0.9
7Houston RocketsHouston Rockets4537.54929121625+3.5
8Los Angeles LakersLos Angeles Lakers4537.54929121625+1.2
9Utah JazzUtah Jazz4339.52430111328-0.1
10Dallas MavericksDallas Mavericks4141.50024171724-0.6
11Portland Trail BlazersPortland Trail Blazers3349.40222191130-3.2
12Minnesota TimberwolvesMinnesota Timberwolves3151.37820211130-2.4
13Sacramento KingsSacramento Kings2854.3422021833-4.9
14New Orleans PelicansNew Orleans Pelicans2755.32916251130-3.9
15Phoenix SunsPhoenix Suns2557.3051724833-6.5

Playoff bracket · 2012-13

Champion · Miami Heat

Every card opens the series: which games, by how much, where, and what the model made of each one. Card positions and connectors are computed arithmetic, not nested boxes — the card feeding a round sits exactly halfway between the two beneath it, and that is asserted by a test rather than left to the box model.

The model's five biggest misses

These are the honest low points, printed with the same prominence the hits get. A record that only shows its wins is an advertisement.

Forecasts are scored against the closing line. Nothing here is betting advice. How it works