2018-19 season

1,312 games · Toronto Raptors won the title

Games scored

1,312

Model Brier

0.2130

Market Brier

0.2085

Gap to close

+0.0107

Eastern Conference

#	Team	W	L	PCT	Home	Away	Net
1	Milwaukee Bucks	60	22	.732	33–8	27–14	+8.9
2	Toronto Raptors	58	24	.707	32–9	26–15	+6.1
3	Philadelphia 76ers	51	31	.622	31–10	20–21	+2.7
4	Boston Celtics	49	33	.598	28–13	21–20	+4.4
5	Indiana Pacers	48	34	.585	29–12	19–22	+3.3
6	Orlando Magic	42	40	.512	25–16	17–24	+0.7
7	Brooklyn Nets	42	40	.512	23–18	19–22	-0.1
8	Detroit Pistons	41	41	.500	26–15	15–26	-0.2
9	Miami Heat	39	43	.476	19–22	20–21	-0.2
10	Charlotte Hornets	39	43	.476	25–16	14–27	-1.1
11	Washington Wizards	32	50	.390	22–19	10–31	-2.9
12	Atlanta Hawks	29	53	.354	17–24	12–29	-6.0
13	Chicago Bulls	22	60	.268	9–32	13–28	-8.4
14	Cleveland Cavaliers	19	63	.232	13–28	6–35	-9.6
15	New York Knicks	17	65	.207	9–32	8–33	-9.2

Western Conference

#	Team	W	L	PCT	Home	Away	Net
1	Golden State Warriors	57	25	.695	30–11	27–14	+6.5
2	Denver Nuggets	54	28	.658	34–7	20–21	+4.0
3	Houston Rockets	53	29	.646	31–10	22–19	+4.8
4	Portland Trail Blazers	53	29	.646	32–9	21–20	+4.2
5	Utah Jazz	50	32	.610	29–12	21–20	+5.3
6	Oklahoma City Thunder	49	33	.598	27–14	22–19	+3.4
7	San Antonio Spurs	48	34	.585	32–9	16–25	+1.7
8	LA Clippers	48	34	.585	26–15	22–19	+0.8
9	Sacramento Kings	39	43	.476	24–17	15–26	-1.1
10	Los Angeles Lakers	37	45	.451	22–19	15–26	-1.7
11	Minnesota Timberwolves	36	46	.439	25–16	11–30	-1.5
12	Dallas Mavericks	33	49	.402	24–17	9–32	-1.3
13	New Orleans Pelicans	33	49	.402	19–22	14–27	-1.3
14	Memphis Grizzlies	33	49	.402	21–20	12–29	-2.6
15	Phoenix Suns	19	63	.232	12–29	7–34	-9.3

Playoff bracket · 2018-19

Champion · Toronto Raptors

Every card opens the series: which games, by how much, where, and what the model made of each one. Card positions and connectors are computed arithmetic, not nested boxes — the card feeding a round sits exactly halfway between the two beneath it, and that is asserted by a test rather than left to the box model.

The model's five biggest misses

Mar 10PHX 115 @ GS 111gave the winner 8.7%Nov 23PHX 116 @ MIL 114gave the winner 10.8%Dec 19PHX 111 @ BOS 103gave the winner 11.7%Mar 4MIL 105 @ PHX 114gave the winner 13.2%Mar 23DAL 126 @ GS 91gave the winner 14.1%

These are the honest low points, printed with the same prominence the hits get. A record that only shows its wins is an advertisement.

Results

Browse all 1,312 games

Jun 13TOR 114 @ GS 110NBA FINALS - GAME 6Playoffs Jun 10GS 106 @ TOR 105NBA FINALS - GAME 5Playoffs Jun 7TOR 105 @ GS 92NBA FINALS - GAME 4Playoffs Jun 5TOR 123 @ GS 109NBA FINALS - GAME 3Playoffs Jun 2GS 109 @ TOR 104NBA FINALS - GAME 2Playoffs May 30GS 109 @ TOR 118NBA FINALS - GAME 1Playoffs May 25MIL 94 @ TOR 100EAST FINALS - GAME 6Playoffs May 23TOR 105 @ MIL 99EAST FINALS - GAME 5Playoffs