First Round · 2018-19
5 games · Philadelphia 76ers advanced
Every game
Game 1Apr 13
BKN 111@
PHI 10231·31·31·18 / 22·32·28·2033%Game 2Apr 15BKN 123@PHI 14528·36·23·36 / 34·31·51·2962%Game 3Apr 18PHI 131@BKN 11532·33·32·34 / 24·35·31·2542%Game 4Apr 20PHI 112@BKN 10824·33·28·27 / 33·30·28·1746%Game 5Apr 23BKN 100@PHI 12215·16·33·36 / 32·28·35·2772%
BKN 111@PHI 10231·31·31·18 / 22·32·28·2033%Game 2Apr 15BKN 123@PHI 14528·36·23·36 / 34·31·51·2962%Game 3Apr 18PHI 131@BKN 11532·33·32·34 / 24·35·31·2542%Game 4Apr 20PHI 112@BKN 10824·33·28·27 / 33·30·28·1746%Game 5Apr 23BKN 100@PHI 12215·16·33·36 / 32·28·35·2772%Each game opens its own page with the period breakdown, the team totals and the full player box score.
What the model made of it
Games it favoured correctly
2 of 5
Mean probability on the winner
51.0%
Brier over the series
0.2602
A backtest, and a sample of 5. The model was refit on games strictly earlier than each of these, so it never saw the result — but a record over a handful of games is not evidence in either direction. The one that means something is on the accuracy page, over 25,749.