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Hardwood
All seasons

2016-17 season

1,309 games · Golden State Warriors won the title

Games scored

1,309

Model Brier

0.2174

Market Brier

0.2117

Gap to close

+0.0059

Eastern Conference

#TeamWLPCTHomeAwayNet
1Boston CelticsBoston Celtics5329.64630–1123–18+2.6
2Toronto RaptorsToronto Raptors5131.62228–1323–18+4.2
3Cleveland CavaliersCleveland Cavaliers5131.62231–1020–21+3.2
4Washington WizardsWashington Wizards4933.59830–1119–22+1.8
5Atlanta HawksAtlanta Hawks4339.52423–1820–21-0.8
6Milwaukee BucksMilwaukee Bucks4240.51223–1819–22-0.2
7Indiana PacersIndiana Pacers4240.51229–1213–28-0.2
8Miami HeatMiami Heat4141.50023–1818–23+1.1
9Chicago BullsChicago Bulls4141.50025–1616–25+0.4
10Detroit PistonsDetroit Pistons3745.45124–1713–28-1.1
11Charlotte HornetsCharlotte Hornets3646.43922–1914–27+0.2
12New York KnicksNew York Knicks3151.37819–2212–29-3.7
13Orlando MagicOrlando Magic2953.35416–2513–28-6.6
14Philadelphia 76ersPhiladelphia 76ers2854.34217–2411–30-5.7
15Brooklyn NetsBrooklyn Nets2062.24413–287–34-6.7

Western Conference

#TeamWLPCTHomeAwayNet
1Golden State WarriorsGolden State Warriors6715.81736–531–10+11.6
2San Antonio SpursSan Antonio Spurs6121.74431–1030–11+7.2
3Houston RocketsHouston Rockets5527.67130–1125–16+5.8
4LA ClippersLA Clippers5131.62229–1222–19+4.3
5Utah JazzUtah Jazz5131.62229–1222–19+3.9
6Oklahoma City ThunderOklahoma City Thunder4735.57328–1319–22+0.8
7Memphis GrizzliesMemphis Grizzlies4339.52424–1719–22+0.5
8Portland Trail BlazersPortland Trail Blazers4141.50025–1616–25-0.5
9Denver NuggetsDenver Nuggets4042.48822–1918–23+0.5
10New Orleans PelicansNew Orleans Pelicans3448.41521–2013–28-2.1
11Dallas MavericksDallas Mavericks3349.40221–2012–29-2.9
12Sacramento KingsSacramento Kings3250.39017–2415–26-3.9
13Minnesota TimberwolvesMinnesota Timberwolves3151.37820–2111–30-1.1
14Los Angeles LakersLos Angeles Lakers2656.31717–249–32-6.9
15Phoenix SunsPhoenix Suns2458.29315–269–32-5.6

Playoff bracket · 2016-17

Champion · Golden State Warriors

Every card opens the series: which games, by how much, where, and what the model made of each one. Card positions and connectors are computed arithmetic, not nested boxes — the card feeding a round sits exactly halfway between the two beneath it, and that is asserted by a test rather than left to the box model.

The model's five biggest misses

These are the honest low points, printed with the same prominence the hits get. A record that only shows its wins is an advertisement.

Forecasts are compared with historical markets. Nothing here is betting advice. How it works