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Hardwood
All seasons

2016-17 season

1,309 games · Golden State Warriors won the title

Games scored

1,309

Model Brier

0.2174

Market Brier

0.2117

Gap to close

+0.0059

Eastern Conference

#TeamWLPCTHomeAwayNet
1Boston CelticsBoston Celtics5329.64630112318+2.6
2Toronto RaptorsToronto Raptors5131.62228132318+4.2
3Cleveland CavaliersCleveland Cavaliers5131.62231102021+3.2
4Washington WizardsWashington Wizards4933.59830111922+1.8
5Atlanta HawksAtlanta Hawks4339.52423182021-0.8
6Milwaukee BucksMilwaukee Bucks4240.51223181922-0.2
7Indiana PacersIndiana Pacers4240.51229121328-0.2
8Miami HeatMiami Heat4141.50023181823+1.1
9Chicago BullsChicago Bulls4141.50025161625+0.4
10Detroit PistonsDetroit Pistons3745.45124171328-1.1
11Charlotte HornetsCharlotte Hornets3646.43922191427+0.2
12New York KnicksNew York Knicks3151.37819221229-3.7
13Orlando MagicOrlando Magic2953.35416251328-6.6
14Philadelphia 76ersPhiladelphia 76ers2854.34217241130-5.7
15Brooklyn NetsBrooklyn Nets2062.2441328734-6.7

Western Conference

#TeamWLPCTHomeAwayNet
1Golden State WarriorsGolden State Warriors6715.8173653110+11.6
2San Antonio SpursSan Antonio Spurs6121.74431103011+7.2
3Houston RocketsHouston Rockets5527.67130112516+5.8
4LA ClippersLA Clippers5131.62229122219+4.3
5Utah JazzUtah Jazz5131.62229122219+3.9
6Oklahoma City ThunderOklahoma City Thunder4735.57328131922+0.8
7Memphis GrizzliesMemphis Grizzlies4339.52424171922+0.5
8Portland Trail BlazersPortland Trail Blazers4141.50025161625-0.5
9Denver NuggetsDenver Nuggets4042.48822191823+0.5
10New Orleans PelicansNew Orleans Pelicans3448.41521201328-2.1
11Dallas MavericksDallas Mavericks3349.40221201229-2.9
12Sacramento KingsSacramento Kings3250.39017241526-3.9
13Minnesota TimberwolvesMinnesota Timberwolves3151.37820211130-1.1
14Los Angeles LakersLos Angeles Lakers2656.3171724932-6.9
15Phoenix SunsPhoenix Suns2458.2931526932-5.6

Playoff bracket · 2016-17

Champion · Golden State Warriors

Every card opens the series: which games, by how much, where, and what the model made of each one. Card positions and connectors are computed arithmetic, not nested boxes — the card feeding a round sits exactly halfway between the two beneath it, and that is asserted by a test rather than left to the box model.

The model's five biggest misses

These are the honest low points, printed with the same prominence the hits get. A record that only shows its wins is an advertisement.

Forecasts are scored against the closing line. Nothing here is betting advice. How it works