Skip to main content
Hardwood
2016-17 season

First Round · 2016-17

LA Clippers
LA Clippers

3

final
Utah Jazz
Utah Jazz

4

7 games · Utah Jazz advanced

Every game

Game 1Apr 15Utah JazzUTAH 97@LA ClippersLAC 9522·30·22·23 / 24·28·18·2531%Game 2Apr 18Utah JazzUTAH 91@LA ClippersLAC 9918·24·28·21 / 29·22·28·2067%Game 3Apr 21LA ClippersLAC 111@Utah JazzUTAH 10621·28·33·29 / 34·24·26·2239%Game 4Apr 23LA ClippersLAC 98@Utah JazzUTAH 10526·26·28·18 / 24·31·22·2858%Game 5Apr 25Utah JazzUTAH 96@LA ClippersLAC 9219·27·18·32 / 21·22·15·3431%Game 6Apr 28LA ClippersLAC 98@Utah JazzUTAH 9320·27·31·20 / 22·23·25·2338%Game 7Apr 30Utah JazzUTAH 104@LA ClippersLAC 9124·22·33·25 / 24·15·24·2832%

Each game opens its own page with the period breakdown, the team totals and the full player box score.

What the model made of it

Games it favoured correctly

2 of 7

Mean probability on the winner

42.4%

Brier over the series

0.3494

A backtest, and a sample of 7. The model was refit on games strictly earlier than each of these, so it never saw the result — but a record over a handful of games is not evidence in either direction. The one that means something is on the accuracy page, over 25,749.

Forecasts are scored against the closing line. Nothing here is betting advice. How it works