Conference Semifinals · 2022-23
7 games · Boston Celtics advanced
Every game
Game 1May 1
PHI 119@
BOS 11531·32·24·32 / 38·28·21·2838%Game 2May 3PHI 87@BOS 12122·27·16·22 / 28·29·35·2962%Game 3May 5BOS 114@PHI 10228·29·31·26 / 29·21·27·2545%Game 4May 7BOS 115@PHI 116OT19·31·33·24 / 27·32·33·1552%Game 5May 9PHI 115@BOS 10333·25·30·27 / 26·23·23·3131%Game 6May 11BOS 95@PHI 8629·21·21·24 / 22·21·30·1342%Game 7May 14PHI 88@BOS 11229·23·10·26 / 23·32·33·2468%
PHI 119@BOS 11531·32·24·32 / 38·28·21·2838%Game 2May 3PHI 87@BOS 12122·27·16·22 / 28·29·35·2962%Game 3May 5BOS 114@PHI 10228·29·31·26 / 29·21·27·2545%Game 4May 7BOS 115@PHI 116OT19·31·33·24 / 27·32·33·1552%Game 5May 9PHI 115@BOS 10333·25·30·27 / 26·23·23·3131%Game 6May 11BOS 95@PHI 8629·21·21·24 / 22·21·30·1342%Game 7May 14PHI 88@BOS 11229·23·10·26 / 23·32·33·2468%Each game opens its own page with the period breakdown, the team totals and the full player box score.
What the model made of it
Games it favoured correctly
3 of 7
Mean probability on the winner
48.2%
Brier over the series
0.2834
A backtest, and a sample of 7. The model was refit on games strictly earlier than each of these, so it never saw the result — but a record over a handful of games is not evidence in either direction. The one that means something is on the accuracy page, over 25,749.