PHX v LAC · First Round · Hardwood

First Round · 2022-23

4

final

1

5 games · Phoenix Suns advanced

Every game

PHX 11030·29·22·34 / 18·36·27·2937%Game 2Apr 18

PHX 12329·30·28·22 / 24·35·33·3161%Game 3Apr 20

LAC 12427·27·40·35 / 27·24·34·3944%Game 4Apr 22

LAC 10023·25·35·29 / 30·17·31·2245%Game 5Apr 25

PHX 13630·40·24·36 / 32·29·50·2568%

Each game opens its own page with the period breakdown, the team totals and the full player box score.

What the model made of it

Games it favoured correctly

2 of 5

Mean probability on the winner

50.8%

Brier over the series

0.2554

A backtest, and a sample of 5. The model was refit on games strictly earlier than each of these, so it never saw the result — but a record over a handful of games is not evidence in either direction. The one that means something is on the accuracy page, over 25,749.