PHI v BKN · First Round · Hardwood

First Round · 2022-23

Philadelphia 76ers

4

final

0

4 games · Philadelphia 76ers advanced

Every game

PHI 12125·33·23·20 / 30·37·26·2871%Game 2Apr 17

PHI 9625·24·14·21 / 25·19·24·2874%Game 3Apr 20

BKN 9732·26·18·26 / 28·19·35·1557%Game 4Apr 22

BKN 8822·18·26·30 / 29·19·15·2558%

Each game opens its own page with the period breakdown, the team totals and the full player box score.

What the model made of it

Games it favoured correctly

4 of 4

Mean probability on the winner

65.0%

Brier over the series

0.1284

A backtest, and a sample of 4. The model was refit on games strictly earlier than each of these, so it never saw the result — but a record over a handful of games is not evidence in either direction. The one that means something is on the accuracy page, over 25,749.