Conference Finals · 2017-18
7 games · Cleveland Cavaliers advanced
Every game
Game 1May 13
CLE 83@
BOS 10818·17·29·19 / 36·25·17·3060%Game 2May 15CLE 94@BOS 10727·28·22·17 / 23·25·36·2366%Game 3May 19BOS 86@CLE 11617·24·22·23 / 32·29·26·2956%Game 4May 21BOS 102@CLE 11118·35·23·26 / 34·34·21·2263%Game 5May 23CLE 83@BOS 9619·23·18·23 / 32·21·23·2062%Game 6May 25BOS 99@CLE 10925·18·30·26 / 20·34·29·2662%Game 7May 27CLE 87@BOS 7918·21·20·28 / 26·17·13·2339%
CLE 83@BOS 10818·17·29·19 / 36·25·17·3060%Game 2May 15CLE 94@BOS 10727·28·22·17 / 23·25·36·2366%Game 3May 19BOS 86@CLE 11617·24·22·23 / 32·29·26·2956%Game 4May 21BOS 102@CLE 11118·35·23·26 / 34·34·21·2263%Game 5May 23CLE 83@BOS 9619·23·18·23 / 32·21·23·2062%Game 6May 25BOS 99@CLE 10925·18·30·26 / 20·34·29·2662%Game 7May 27CLE 87@BOS 7918·21·20·28 / 26·17·13·2339%Each game opens its own page with the period breakdown, the team totals and the full player box score.
What the model made of it
Games it favoured correctly
6 of 7
Mean probability on the winner
58.4%
Brier over the series
0.1801
A backtest, and a sample of 7. The model was refit on games strictly earlier than each of these, so it never saw the result — but a record over a handful of games is not evidence in either direction. The one that means something is on the accuracy page, over 25,749.