Conference Semifinals · 2020-21
7 games · Milwaukee Bucks advanced
Every game
Game 1Jun 5
MIL 107@
BKN 11532·29·23·23 / 30·33·35·1757%Game 2Jun 7MIL 86@BKN 12519·22·24·21 / 36·29·30·3061%Game 3Jun 10BKN 83@MIL 8611·31·23·18 / 30·15·22·1957%Game 4Jun 13BKN 96@MIL 10726·22·21·27 / 23·30·28·2658%Game 5Jun 15MIL 108@BKN 11429·30·28·21 / 15·28·38·3364%Game 6Jun 17BKN 89@MIL 10419·29·19·22 / 26·33·19·2659%Game 7Jun 19MIL 115@BKN 111OT25·22·35·27 / 28·25·28·2838%
MIL 107@BKN 11532·29·23·23 / 30·33·35·1757%Game 2Jun 7MIL 86@BKN 12519·22·24·21 / 36·29·30·3061%Game 3Jun 10BKN 83@MIL 8611·31·23·18 / 30·15·22·1957%Game 4Jun 13BKN 96@MIL 10726·22·21·27 / 23·30·28·2658%Game 5Jun 15MIL 108@BKN 11429·30·28·21 / 15·28·38·3364%Game 6Jun 17BKN 89@MIL 10419·29·19·22 / 26·33·19·2659%Game 7Jun 19MIL 115@BKN 111OT25·22·35·27 / 28·25·28·2838%Each game opens its own page with the period breakdown, the team totals and the full player box score.
What the model made of it
Games it favoured correctly
6 of 7
Mean probability on the winner
56.3%
Brier over the series
0.1977
A backtest, and a sample of 7. The model was refit on games strictly earlier than each of these, so it never saw the result — but a record over a handful of games is not evidence in either direction. The one that means something is on the accuracy page, over 25,749.