Conference Finals · 2020-21
6 games · Milwaukee Bucks advanced
Every game
Game 1Jun 23
ATL 116@
MIL 11325·29·34·28 / 28·31·26·2831%Game 2Jun 25ATL 91@MIL 12528·17·18·28 / 34·43·26·2265%Game 3Jun 27MIL 113@ATL 10227·29·27·30 / 32·24·29·1747%Game 4Jun 29MIL 88@ATL 11022·16·24·26 / 25·26·36·2350%Game 5Jul 1ATL 112@MIL 12322·34·22·34 / 36·29·26·3268%Game 6Jul 3MIL 118@ATL 10728·19·44·27 / 24·19·29·3547%
ATL 116@MIL 11325·29·34·28 / 28·31·26·2831%Game 2Jun 25ATL 91@MIL 12528·17·18·28 / 34·43·26·2265%Game 3Jun 27MIL 113@ATL 10227·29·27·30 / 32·24·29·1747%Game 4Jun 29MIL 88@ATL 11022·16·24·26 / 25·26·36·2350%Game 5Jul 1ATL 112@MIL 12322·34·22·34 / 36·29·26·3268%Game 6Jul 3MIL 118@ATL 10728·19·44·27 / 24·19·29·3547%Each game opens its own page with the period breakdown, the team totals and the full player box score.
What the model made of it
Games it favoured correctly
2 of 6
Mean probability on the winner
51.4%
Brier over the series
0.2510
A backtest, and a sample of 6. The model was refit on games strictly earlier than each of these, so it never saw the result — but a record over a handful of games is not evidence in either direction. The one that means something is on the accuracy page, over 25,749.