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Hardwood
2020-21 season

Conference Finals · 2020-21

Phoenix Suns
Phoenix Suns

4

final
LA Clippers
LA Clippers

2

6 games · Phoenix Suns advanced

Every game

Game 1Jun 20LA ClippersLAC 114@Phoenix SunsPHX 12021·33·39·21 / 21·36·36·2770%Game 2Jun 22LA ClippersLAC 103@Phoenix SunsPHX 10422·25·24·32 / 25·23·27·2969%Game 3Jun 24Phoenix SunsPHX 92@LA ClippersLAC 10621·27·21·23 / 29·17·34·2657%Game 4Jun 26Phoenix SunsPHX 84@LA ClippersLAC 8029·21·19·15 / 20·16·30·1439%Game 5Jun 28LA ClippersLAC 116@Phoenix SunsPHX 10236·23·32·25 / 26·26·26·2433%Game 6Jun 30Phoenix SunsPHX 130@LA ClippersLAC 10333·33·31·33 / 29·28·26·2037%

Each game opens its own page with the period breakdown, the team totals and the full player box score.

What the model made of it

Games it favoured correctly

3 of 6

Mean probability on the winner

50.7%

Brier over the series

0.2659

A backtest, and a sample of 6. The model was refit on games strictly earlier than each of these, so it never saw the result — but a record over a handful of games is not evidence in either direction. The one that means something is on the accuracy page, over 25,749.

Forecasts are scored against the closing line. Nothing here is betting advice. How it works