Conference Semifinals · 2020-21
4 games · Phoenix Suns advanced
Every game
Game 1Jun 7
DEN 105@
PHX 12228·30·21·26 / 28·29·31·3465%Game 2Jun 9DEN 98@PHX 12321·21·25·31 / 25·27·34·3768%Game 3Jun 11PHX 116@DEN 10237·22·31·26 / 27·28·21·2649%Game 4Jun 13PHX 125@DEN 11828·35·33·29 / 22·33·28·3552%
DEN 105@PHX 12228·30·21·26 / 28·29·31·3465%Game 2Jun 9DEN 98@PHX 12321·21·25·31 / 25·27·34·3768%Game 3Jun 11PHX 116@DEN 10237·22·31·26 / 27·28·21·2649%Game 4Jun 13PHX 125@DEN 11828·35·33·29 / 22·33·28·3552%Each game opens its own page with the period breakdown, the team totals and the full player box score.
What the model made of it
Games it favoured correctly
3 of 4
Mean probability on the winner
58.5%
Brier over the series
0.1791
A backtest, and a sample of 4. The model was refit on games strictly earlier than each of these, so it never saw the result — but a record over a handful of games is not evidence in either direction. The one that means something is on the accuracy page, over 25,749.