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Hardwood
2020-21 season

Conference Semifinals · 2020-21

Utah Jazz
Utah Jazz

2

final
LA Clippers
LA Clippers

4

6 games · LA Clippers advanced

Every game

Game 1Jun 8LA ClippersLAC 109@Utah JazzUTAH 11225·35·19·30 / 18·29·32·3373%Game 2Jun 10LA ClippersLAC 111@Utah JazzUTAH 11729·24·33·25 / 30·36·27·2472%Game 3Jun 12Utah JazzUTAH 106@LA ClippersLAC 13223·26·34·23 / 27·37·30·3851%Game 4Jun 14Utah JazzUTAH 104@LA ClippersLAC 11813·31·29·31 / 30·38·26·2458%Game 5Jun 16LA ClippersLAC 119@Utah JazzUTAH 11136·24·32·27 / 37·28·18·2838%Game 6Jun 18Utah JazzUTAH 119@LA ClippersLAC 13133·39·22·25 / 31·19·41·4065%

Each game opens its own page with the period breakdown, the team totals and the full player box score.

What the model made of it

Games it favoured correctly

5 of 6

Mean probability on the winner

59.5%

Brier over the series

0.1790

A backtest, and a sample of 6. The model was refit on games strictly earlier than each of these, so it never saw the result — but a record over a handful of games is not evidence in either direction. The one that means something is on the accuracy page, over 25,749.

Forecasts are scored against the closing line. Nothing here is betting advice. How it works