First Round · 2020-21
5 games · Brooklyn Nets advanced
Every game
Game 1May 22
BOS 93@
BKN 10421·32·20·20 / 16·31·31·2672%Game 2May 25BOS 108@BKN 13026·21·35·26 / 40·31·38·2173%Game 3May 28BKN 119@BOS 12532·25·27·35 / 33·28·35·2944%Game 4May 30BKN 141@BOS 12633·40·39·29 / 34·26·31·3554%Game 5Jun 1BOS 109@BKN 12324·27·28·30 / 31·28·27·3776%
BOS 93@BKN 10421·32·20·20 / 16·31·31·2672%Game 2May 25BOS 108@BKN 13026·21·35·26 / 40·31·38·2173%Game 3May 28BKN 119@BOS 12532·25·27·35 / 33·28·35·2944%Game 4May 30BKN 141@BOS 12633·40·39·29 / 34·26·31·3554%Game 5Jun 1BOS 109@BKN 12324·27·28·30 / 31·28·27·3776%Each game opens its own page with the period breakdown, the team totals and the full player box score.
What the model made of it
Games it favoured correctly
4 of 5
Mean probability on the winner
64.0%
Brier over the series
0.1451
A backtest, and a sample of 5. The model was refit on games strictly earlier than each of these, so it never saw the result — but a record over a handful of games is not evidence in either direction. The one that means something is on the accuracy page, over 25,749.