First Round · 2020-21
5 games · Philadelphia 76ers advanced
Every game
Game 1May 23
WSH 118@
PHI 12528·34·31·25 / 27·34·38·2674%Game 2May 26WSH 95@PHI 12024·33·23·15 / 35·36·23·2673%Game 3May 29PHI 132@WSH 10336·36·37·23 / 28·30·28·1756%Game 4May 31PHI 114@WSH 12231·30·19·34 / 28·32·32·3039%Game 5Jun 2WSH 112@PHI 12929·34·31·18 / 29·36·38·2676%
WSH 118@PHI 12528·34·31·25 / 27·34·38·2674%Game 2May 26WSH 95@PHI 12024·33·23·15 / 35·36·23·2673%Game 3May 29PHI 132@WSH 10336·36·37·23 / 28·30·28·1756%Game 4May 31PHI 114@WSH 12231·30·19·34 / 28·32·32·3039%Game 5Jun 2WSH 112@PHI 12929·34·31·18 / 29·36·38·2676%Each game opens its own page with the period breakdown, the team totals and the full player box score.
What the model made of it
Games it favoured correctly
4 of 5
Mean probability on the winner
63.8%
Brier over the series
0.1513
A backtest, and a sample of 5. The model was refit on games strictly earlier than each of these, so it never saw the result — but a record over a handful of games is not evidence in either direction. The one that means something is on the accuracy page, over 25,749.