First Round · 2020-21
7 games · LA Clippers advanced
Every game
Game 1May 22
DAL 113@
LAC 10333·27·26·27 / 30·25·25·2334%Game 2May 25DAL 127@LAC 12135·36·30·26 / 33·40·19·2937%Game 3May 28LAC 118@DAL 10831·32·26·29 / 34·27·25·2238%Game 4May 30LAC 106@DAL 8131·30·21·24 / 22·23·15·2142%Game 5Jun 2DAL 105@LAC 10035·21·33·16 / 28·26·21·2530%Game 6Jun 4LAC 104@DAL 9726·22·25·31 / 28·17·32·2045%Game 7Jun 6DAL 111@LAC 12638·24·23·26 / 35·35·30·2670%
DAL 113@LAC 10333·27·26·27 / 30·25·25·2334%Game 2May 25DAL 127@LAC 12135·36·30·26 / 33·40·19·2937%Game 3May 28LAC 118@DAL 10831·32·26·29 / 34·27·25·2238%Game 4May 30LAC 106@DAL 8131·30·21·24 / 22·23·15·2142%Game 5Jun 2DAL 105@LAC 10035·21·33·16 / 28·26·21·2530%Game 6Jun 4LAC 104@DAL 9726·22·25·31 / 28·17·32·2045%Game 7Jun 6DAL 111@LAC 12638·24·23·26 / 35·35·30·2670%Each game opens its own page with the period breakdown, the team totals and the full player box score.
What the model made of it
Games it favoured correctly
1 of 7
Mean probability on the winner
42.3%
Brier over the series
0.3477
A backtest, and a sample of 7. The model was refit on games strictly earlier than each of these, so it never saw the result — but a record over a handful of games is not evidence in either direction. The one that means something is on the accuracy page, over 25,749.