First Round · 2021-22
6 games · Phoenix Suns advanced
Every game
Game 1Apr 17
NO 99@
PHX 11016·18·37·28 / 28·25·26·3178%Game 2Apr 19NO 125@PHX 11430·26·34·35 / 28·33·22·3124%Game 3Apr 22PHX 114@NO 11128·31·22·33 / 29·19·31·3251%Game 4Apr 24PHX 103@NO 11822·29·23·29 / 25·24·35·3448%Game 5Apr 26NO 97@PHX 11220·26·32·19 / 32·27·30·2367%Game 6Apr 28PHX 115@NO 10928·20·34·33 / 28·30·27·2450%
NO 99@PHX 11016·18·37·28 / 28·25·26·3178%Game 2Apr 19NO 125@PHX 11430·26·34·35 / 28·33·22·3124%Game 3Apr 22PHX 114@NO 11128·31·22·33 / 29·19·31·3251%Game 4Apr 24PHX 103@NO 11822·29·23·29 / 25·24·35·3448%Game 5Apr 26NO 97@PHX 11220·26·32·19 / 32·27·30·2367%Game 6Apr 28PHX 115@NO 10928·20·34·33 / 28·30·27·2450%Each game opens its own page with the period breakdown, the team totals and the full player box score.
What the model made of it
Games it favoured correctly
3 of 6
Mean probability on the winner
52.9%
Brier over the series
0.2508
A backtest, and a sample of 6. The model was refit on games strictly earlier than each of these, so it never saw the result — but a record over a handful of games is not evidence in either direction. The one that means something is on the accuracy page, over 25,749.