NBA Finals · 2021-22
6 games · Golden State Warriors advanced
Every game
Game 1Jun 2
BOS 120@
GS 10828·28·24·40 / 32·22·38·1644%Game 2Jun 5BOS 88@GS 10730·20·14·24 / 31·21·35·2052%Game 3Jun 8GS 100@BOS 11622·34·33·11 / 33·35·25·2370%Game 4Jun 10GS 107@BOS 9727·22·30·28 / 28·26·24·1928%Game 5Jun 13BOS 94@GS 10416·23·35·20 / 27·24·24·2958%Game 6Jun 16GS 103@BOS 9027·27·22·27 / 22·17·27·2435%
BOS 120@GS 10828·28·24·40 / 32·22·38·1644%Game 2Jun 5BOS 88@GS 10730·20·14·24 / 31·21·35·2052%Game 3Jun 8GS 100@BOS 11622·34·33·11 / 33·35·25·2370%Game 4Jun 10GS 107@BOS 9727·22·30·28 / 28·26·24·1928%Game 5Jun 13BOS 94@GS 10416·23·35·20 / 27·24·24·2958%Game 6Jun 16GS 103@BOS 9027·27·22·27 / 22·17·27·2435%Each game opens its own page with the period breakdown, the team totals and the full player box score.
What the model made of it
Games it favoured correctly
3 of 6
Mean probability on the winner
47.8%
Brier over the series
0.2925
A backtest, and a sample of 6. The model was refit on games strictly earlier than each of these, so it never saw the result — but a record over a handful of games is not evidence in either direction. The one that means something is on the accuracy page, over 25,749.