Conference Semifinals · 2021-22
7 games · Boston Celtics advanced
Every game
Game 1May 1
MIL 101@
BOS 8927·29·22·23 / 24·22·24·1923%Game 2May 3MIL 86@BOS 10921·19·26·20 / 32·33·18·2672%Game 3May 7BOS 101@MIL 10319·31·17·34 / 22·24·34·2349%Game 4May 9BOS 116@MIL 10818·29·26·43 / 25·23·32·2849%Game 5May 11MIL 110@BOS 10728·19·30·33 / 26·28·32·2125%Game 6May 13BOS 108@MIL 9528·25·29·26 / 26·17·27·2549%Game 7May 15MIL 81@BOS 10926·17·21·17 / 20·28·31·3075%
MIL 101@BOS 8927·29·22·23 / 24·22·24·1923%Game 2May 3MIL 86@BOS 10921·19·26·20 / 32·33·18·2672%Game 3May 7BOS 101@MIL 10319·31·17·34 / 22·24·34·2349%Game 4May 9BOS 116@MIL 10818·29·26·43 / 25·23·32·2849%Game 5May 11MIL 110@BOS 10728·19·30·33 / 26·28·32·2125%Game 6May 13BOS 108@MIL 9528·25·29·26 / 26·17·27·2549%Game 7May 15MIL 81@BOS 10926·17·21·17 / 20·28·31·3075%Each game opens its own page with the period breakdown, the team totals and the full player box score.
What the model made of it
Games it favoured correctly
2 of 7
Mean probability on the winner
48.8%
Brier over the series
0.2963
A backtest, and a sample of 7. The model was refit on games strictly earlier than each of these, so it never saw the result — but a record over a handful of games is not evidence in either direction. The one that means something is on the accuracy page, over 25,749.