Conference Finals · 2007-08
6 games · Boston Celtics advanced
Every game
Game 1May 20
DET 79@
BOS 8817·23·17·22 / 22·19·28·1963%Game 2May 22DET 103@BOS 9718·32·28·25 / 20·23·26·2834%Game 3May 24BOS 94@DET 8025·25·23·21 / 17·15·23·2534%Game 4May 26BOS 75@DET 9417·22·19·17 / 22·21·22·2960%Game 5May 28DET 102@BOS 10623·23·25·31 / 23·29·32·2264%Game 6May 30BOS 89@DET 8124·16·20·29 / 21·16·31·1336%
DET 79@BOS 8817·23·17·22 / 22·19·28·1963%Game 2May 22DET 103@BOS 9718·32·28·25 / 20·23·26·2834%Game 3May 24BOS 94@DET 8025·25·23·21 / 17·15·23·2534%Game 4May 26BOS 75@DET 9417·22·19·17 / 22·21·22·2960%Game 5May 28DET 102@BOS 10623·23·25·31 / 23·29·32·2264%Game 6May 30BOS 89@DET 8124·16·20·29 / 21·16·31·1336%Each game opens its own page with the period breakdown, the team totals and the full player box score.
What the model made of it
Games it favoured correctly
3 of 6
Mean probability on the winner
48.5%
Brier over the series
0.2841
A backtest, and a sample of 6. The model was refit on games strictly earlier than each of these, so it never saw the result — but a record over a handful of games is not evidence in either direction. The one that means something is on the accuracy page, over 25,749.