ATL v BKN · First Round · Hardwood

First Round · 2014-15

4

final

2

6 games · Atlanta Hawks advanced

Every game

ATL 9920·25·17·30 / 32·23·19·2576%Game 2Apr 22

ATL 9624·23·20·24 / 29·21·25·2178%Game 3Apr 25

BKN 9116·24·22·21 / 31·16·20·2445%Game 4Apr 27

BKN 120OT24·27·31·22 / 25·20·29·3048%Game 5Apr 29

ATL 10716·28·26·27 / 33·20·29·2573%Game 6May 1

BKN 8736·15·41·19 / 23·22·21·2151%

Each game opens its own page with the period breakdown, the team totals and the full player box score.

What the model made of it

Games it favoured correctly

4 of 6

Mean probability on the winner

62.0%

Brier over the series

0.1648

A backtest, and a sample of 6. The model was refit on games strictly earlier than each of these, so it never saw the result — but a record over a handful of games is not evidence in either direction. The one that means something is on the accuracy page, over 25,749.