Conference Finals · 2014-15
4 games · Cleveland Cavaliers advanced
Every game
Game 1May 20
CLE 97@
ATL 8920·31·23·23 / 26·25·16·2243%Game 2May 22CLE 94@ATL 8226·28·30·10 / 21·28·17·1645%Game 3May 24ATL 111@CLE 114OT24·25·27·28 / 21·27·33·2375%Game 4May 26ATL 88@CLE 11820·22·18·28 / 32·27·26·3376%
CLE 97@ATL 8920·31·23·23 / 26·25·16·2243%Game 2May 22CLE 94@ATL 8226·28·30·10 / 21·28·17·1645%Game 3May 24ATL 111@CLE 114OT24·25·27·28 / 21·27·33·2375%Game 4May 26ATL 88@CLE 11820·22·18·28 / 32·27·26·3376%Each game opens its own page with the period breakdown, the team totals and the full player box score.
What the model made of it
Games it favoured correctly
2 of 4
Mean probability on the winner
59.7%
Brier over the series
0.1872
A backtest, and a sample of 4. The model was refit on games strictly earlier than each of these, so it never saw the result — but a record over a handful of games is not evidence in either direction. The one that means something is on the accuracy page, over 25,749.