First Round · 2019-20
6 games · LA Clippers advanced
Every game
Game 1Aug 17
DAL 110@
LAC 11838·31·13·28 / 34·32·21·3173%Game 2Aug 19DAL 127@LAC 11429·32·37·29 / 25·31·29·2925%Game 3Aug 21LAC 130@DAL 12223·45·34·28 / 23·31·31·3745%Game 4Aug 23LAC 133@DAL 135OT34·32·19·36 / 24·34·35·2852%Game 5Aug 25DAL 111@LAC 15422·30·34·25 / 41·35·35·4371%Game 6Aug 30LAC 111@DAL 9729·28·28·26 / 34·17·23·2353%
DAL 110@LAC 11838·31·13·28 / 34·32·21·3173%Game 2Aug 19DAL 127@LAC 11429·32·37·29 / 25·31·29·2925%Game 3Aug 21LAC 130@DAL 12223·45·34·28 / 23·31·31·3745%Game 4Aug 23LAC 133@DAL 135OT34·32·19·36 / 24·34·35·2852%Game 5Aug 25DAL 111@LAC 15422·30·34·25 / 41·35·35·4371%Game 6Aug 30LAC 111@DAL 9729·28·28·26 / 34·17·23·2353%Each game opens its own page with the period breakdown, the team totals and the full player box score.
What the model made of it
Games it favoured correctly
4 of 6
Mean probability on the winner
53.2%
Brier over the series
0.2455
A backtest, and a sample of 6. The model was refit on games strictly earlier than each of these, so it never saw the result — but a record over a handful of games is not evidence in either direction. The one that means something is on the accuracy page, over 25,749.