Conference Finals · 2019-20
5 games · Los Angeles Lakers advanced
Every game
Game 1Sep 18
DEN 114@
LAL 12638·21·20·35 / 36·34·33·2374%Game 2Sep 20DEN 103@LAL 10521·29·28·25 / 29·31·22·2375%Game 3Sep 22LAL 106@DEN 11427·26·22·31 / 29·34·30·2151%Game 4Sep 24LAL 114@DEN 10837·23·27·27 / 30·25·29·2446%Game 5Sep 26DEN 107@LAL 11730·21·33·23 / 33·28·26·3073%
DEN 114@LAL 12638·21·20·35 / 36·34·33·2374%Game 2Sep 20DEN 103@LAL 10521·29·28·25 / 29·31·22·2375%Game 3Sep 22LAL 106@DEN 11427·26·22·31 / 29·34·30·2151%Game 4Sep 24LAL 114@DEN 10837·23·27·27 / 30·25·29·2446%Game 5Sep 26DEN 107@LAL 11730·21·33·23 / 33·28·26·3073%Each game opens its own page with the period breakdown, the team totals and the full player box score.
What the model made of it
Games it favoured correctly
4 of 5
Mean probability on the winner
63.6%
Brier over the series
0.1478
A backtest, and a sample of 5. The model was refit on games strictly earlier than each of these, so it never saw the result — but a record over a handful of games is not evidence in either direction. The one that means something is on the accuracy page, over 25,749.