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Hardwood
2023-24 season

Conference Finals · 2023-24

Boston Celtics
Boston Celtics

4

final
Indiana Pacers
Indiana Pacers

0

4 games · Boston Celtics advanced

Every game

Game 1May 21Indiana PacersIND 128@Boston CelticsBOS 133OT31·33·29·24 / 34·30·30·2377%Game 2May 23Indiana PacersIND 110@Boston CelticsBOS 12627·24·29·30 / 25·32·36·3376%Game 3May 25Boston CelticsBOS 114@Indiana PacersIND 11132·25·24·33 / 31·38·21·2155%Game 4May 27Boston CelticsBOS 105@Indiana PacersIND 10229·29·22·25 / 27·30·26·1955%

Each game opens its own page with the period breakdown, the team totals and the full player box score.

What the model made of it

Games it favoured correctly

4 of 4

Mean probability on the winner

66.0%

Brier over the series

0.1277

A backtest, and a sample of 4. The model was refit on games strictly earlier than each of these, so it never saw the result — but a record over a handful of games is not evidence in either direction. The one that means something is on the accuracy page, over 25,749.

Forecasts are scored against the closing line. Nothing here is betting advice. How it works