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Hardwood
2023-24 season

First Round · 2023-24

New York Knicks
New York Knicks

4

final
Philadelphia 76ers
Philadelphia 76ers

2

6 games · New York Knicks advanced

Every game

Game 1Apr 20Philadelphia 76ersPHI 104@New York KnicksNY 11134·12·36·22 / 25·33·21·3271%Game 2Apr 22Philadelphia 76ersPHI 101@New York KnicksNY 10425·28·21·27 / 18·31·30·2570%Game 3Apr 25New York KnicksNY 114@Philadelphia 76ersPHI 12529·29·27·29 / 27·28·43·2751%Game 4Apr 28New York KnicksNY 97@Philadelphia 76ersPHI 9217·30·30·20 / 27·22·27·1646%Game 5Apr 30Philadelphia 76ersPHI 112@New York KnicksNY 106OT26·17·26·28 / 17·32·21·2731%Game 6May 2New York KnicksNY 118@Philadelphia 76ersPHI 11536·15·32·35 / 22·32·29·3245%

Each game opens its own page with the period breakdown, the team totals and the full player box score.

What the model made of it

Games it favoured correctly

3 of 6

Mean probability on the winner

52.3%

Brier over the series

0.2479

A backtest, and a sample of 6. The model was refit on games strictly earlier than each of these, so it never saw the result — but a record over a handful of games is not evidence in either direction. The one that means something is on the accuracy page, over 25,749.

Forecasts are scored against the closing line. Nothing here is betting advice. How it works