IND v MIL · First Round · Hardwood

First Round · 2024-25

4

final

Milwaukee Bucks

1

5 games · Indiana Pacers advanced

Every game

IND 11725·18·33·22 / 33·34·26·2462%Game 2Apr 22

IND 12330·30·27·28 / 40·28·31·2464%Game 3Apr 25

MIL 11726·31·18·26 / 26·21·39·3155%Game 4Apr 27

MIL 10330·33·38·28 / 24·28·32·1941%Game 5Apr 29

IND 119OT30·17·28·28 / 13·28·34·2868%

Each game opens its own page with the period breakdown, the team totals and the full player box score.

What the model made of it

Games it favoured correctly

4 of 5

Mean probability on the winner

58.0%

Brier over the series

0.1855

A backtest, and a sample of 5. The model was refit on games strictly earlier than each of these, so it never saw the result — but a record over a handful of games is not evidence in either direction. The one that means something is on the accuracy page, over 25,749.