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Hardwood
2024-25 season

Conference Finals · 2024-25

New York Knicks
New York Knicks

2

final
Indiana Pacers
Indiana Pacers

4

6 games · Indiana Pacers advanced

Every game

Game 1May 21Indiana PacersIND 138@New York KnicksNY 135OT34·28·25·38 / 36·33·21·3547%Game 2May 23Indiana PacersIND 114@New York KnicksNY 10924·25·32·33 / 26·26·29·2848%Game 3May 25New York KnicksNY 106@Indiana PacersIND 10026·19·25·36 / 30·28·22·2029%Game 4May 27New York KnicksNY 121@Indiana PacersIND 13035·29·27·30 / 43·26·33·2868%Game 5May 29Indiana PacersIND 94@New York KnicksNY 11123·22·28·21 / 27·29·34·2152%Game 6May 31New York KnicksNY 108@Indiana PacersIND 12524·30·23·31 / 25·33·34·3365%

Each game opens its own page with the period breakdown, the team totals and the full player box score.

What the model made of it

Games it favoured correctly

3 of 6

Mean probability on the winner

51.7%

Brier over the series

0.2502

A backtest, and a sample of 6. The model was refit on games strictly earlier than each of these, so it never saw the result — but a record over a handful of games is not evidence in either direction. The one that means something is on the accuracy page, over 25,749.

Forecasts are scored against the closing line. Nothing here is betting advice. How it works