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Hardwood
2024-25 season

Conference Semifinals · 2024-25

Boston Celtics
Boston Celtics

2

final
New York Knicks
New York Knicks

4

6 games · New York Knicks advanced

Every game

Game 1May 5New York KnicksNY 108@Boston CelticsBOS 105OT25·20·30·25 / 26·35·23·1622%Game 2May 7New York KnicksNY 91@Boston CelticsBOS 9013·28·20·30 / 24·26·23·1725%Game 3May 10Boston CelticsBOS 115@New York KnicksNY 9336·35·25·19 / 20·26·24·2349%Game 4May 12Boston CelticsBOS 113@New York KnicksNY 12139·23·23·28 / 28·23·37·3346%Game 5May 14New York KnicksNY 102@Boston CelticsBOS 12732·27·17·26 / 30·29·32·3674%Game 6May 16Boston CelticsBOS 81@New York KnicksNY 11920·17·20·24 / 26·38·28·2745%

Each game opens its own page with the period breakdown, the team totals and the full player box score.

What the model made of it

Games it favoured correctly

1 of 6

Mean probability on the winner

43.5%

Brier over the series

0.3478

A backtest, and a sample of 6. The model was refit on games strictly earlier than each of these, so it never saw the result — but a record over a handful of games is not evidence in either direction. The one that means something is on the accuracy page, over 25,749.

Forecasts are scored against the closing line. Nothing here is betting advice. How it works