BOS v ORL · First Round · Hardwood

First Round · 2024-25

4

final

1

5 games · Boston Celtics advanced

Every game

BOS 10318·31·18·19 / 26·22·30·2577%Game 2Apr 23

BOS 10921·26·24·29 / 23·27·31·2878%Game 3Apr 25

ORL 9527·32·11·23 / 31·18·24·2242%Game 4Apr 27

ORL 9832·21·26·28 / 29·19·27·2356%Game 5Apr 29

BOS 12027·22·13·27 / 23·24·36·3779%

Each game opens its own page with the period breakdown, the team totals and the full player box score.

What the model made of it

Games it favoured correctly

4 of 5

Mean probability on the winner

66.3%

Brier over the series

0.1356

A backtest, and a sample of 5. The model was refit on games strictly earlier than each of these, so it never saw the result — but a record over a handful of games is not evidence in either direction. The one that means something is on the accuracy page, over 25,749.