DEN v MIN · First Round · Hardwood

First Round · 2025-26

2

final

Minnesota Timberwolves

4

6 games · Minnesota Timberwolves advanced

Every game

DEN 11633·29·17·26 / 23·39·29·2575%Game 2Apr 20

DEN 11425·39·26·29 / 39·25·29·2124%Game 3Apr 23

MIN 11311·28·29·28 / 25·36·27·2546%Game 4Apr 25

MIN 11223·31·24·18 / 22·28·32·3050%Game 5Apr 27

DEN 12529·22·24·38 / 34·26·37·2865%Game 6Apr 30

MIN 11030·20·24·24 / 29·28·25·2853%

Each game opens its own page with the period breakdown, the team totals and the full player box score.

What the model made of it

Games it favoured correctly

4 of 6

Mean probability on the winner

52.2%

Brier over the series

0.2541

A backtest, and a sample of 6. The model was refit on games strictly earlier than each of these, so it never saw the result — but a record over a handful of games is not evidence in either direction. The one that means something is on the accuracy page, over 25,749.