Conference Semifinals · 2025-26
4 games · New York Knicks advanced
Every game
Game 1May 4
PHI 98@
NY 13725·26·27·20 / 33·41·35·2878%Game 2May 6PHI 102@NY 10833·29·28·12 / 31·30·28·1980%Game 3May 8NY 108@PHI 9427·33·25·23 / 31·21·24·1861%Game 4May 10NY 144@PHI 11443·38·41·22 / 24·33·26·3163%
PHI 98@NY 13725·26·27·20 / 33·41·35·2878%Game 2May 6PHI 102@NY 10833·29·28·12 / 31·30·28·1980%Game 3May 8NY 108@PHI 9427·33·25·23 / 31·21·24·1861%Game 4May 10NY 144@PHI 11443·38·41·22 / 24·33·26·3163%Each game opens its own page with the period breakdown, the team totals and the full player box score.
What the model made of it
Games it favoured correctly
4 of 4
Mean probability on the winner
70.6%
Brier over the series
0.0942
A backtest, and a sample of 4. The model was refit on games strictly earlier than each of these, so it never saw the result — but a record over a handful of games is not evidence in either direction. The one that means something is on the accuracy page, over 25,749.